Arsenal 3–0 Coventry

2026-08-21 20:00, Emirates Stadium. Half time 2–0. Kai Havertz 14', Bukayo Saka 22', Martin Ødegaard 48'

2026-08-21 20:00
Arsenal
3–0
Coventry
2.0
expected goals
+1.8 to Arsenal
0.2

Arsenal created more, 2.0 to 0.2 expected goals, and won.

20Shots4
1.77Expected goals from open play0.21
0.26From set pieces0.00
2.04Excluding penalties0.21
1.57As the rating counts them0.21
2.7Points the chances deserved0.2

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Arsenal creates 1.67 and allows 0.89; Coventry creates 1.00 and allows 1.37.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Arsenal win 84 per cent, draw 13, Coventry win 2. Arsenal deserved 2.7 points and took 3; Coventry deserved 0.2 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Arsenal attack this way →← Coventry attack this wayChristos Tzolis 4': 0.08 expected goalsBukayo Saka 6': 0.09 expected goalsChristos Tzolis 7': 0.06 expected goalsDeclan Rice 8': 0.02 expected goalsLoum Tchaouna 12': 0.02 expected goalsKai Havertz 14': 0.38 expected goals, GOALBukayo Saka 22': 0.38 expected goals, GOALBen White 32': 0.14 expected goalsRiccardo Calafiori 37': 0.08 expected goalsLoum Tchaouna 41': 0.05 expected goalsMartin Ødegaard 45': 0.03 expected goalsDeclan Rice 46': 0.03 expected goalsMartin Ødegaard 48': 0.11 expected goals, GOALMyles Lewis-Skelly 51': 0.16 expected goalsChristos Tzolis 60': 0.08 expected goalsBukayo Saka 61': 0.08 expected goalsChristos Tzolis 64': 0.02 expected goalsBobby Thomas 66': 0.02 expected goalsMartin Ødegaard 71': 0.07 expected goalsMikel Merino 77': 0.08 expected goalsGabriel Magalhães 81': 0.03 expected goalsJack Rudoni 85': 0.12 expected goalsMikel Merino 90': 0.07 expected goalsEberechi Eze 94': 0.04 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.502.0001122334455667788MinuteArsenal: 0Arsenal, 4': Christos Tzolis, 0.08 expected goalsArsenal, 6': Bukayo Saka, 0.09 expected goalsArsenal, 7': Christos Tzolis, 0.06 expected goalsArsenal, 8': Declan Rice, 0.02 expected goalsArsenal, 14': Kai Havertz, 0.38 expected goals, GOALArsenal, 22': Bukayo Saka, 0.38 expected goals, GOALArsenal, 32': Ben White, 0.14 expected goalsArsenal, 37': Riccardo Calafiori, 0.08 expected goalsArsenal, 45': Martin Ødegaard, 0.03 expected goalsArsenal, 46': Declan Rice, 0.03 expected goalsArsenal, 48': Martin Ødegaard, 0.11 expected goals, GOALArsenal, 51': Myles Lewis-Skelly, 0.16 expected goalsArsenal, 60': Christos Tzolis, 0.08 expected goalsArsenal, 61': Bukayo Saka, 0.08 expected goalsArsenal, 64': Christos Tzolis, 0.02 expected goalsArsenal, 71': Martin Ødegaard, 0.07 expected goalsArsenal, 77': Mikel Merino, 0.08 expected goalsArsenal, 81': Gabriel Magalhães, 0.03 expected goalsArsenal, 90': Mikel Merino, 0.07 expected goalsArsenal, 94': Eberechi Eze, 0.04 expected goalsArsenal: 2.04Coventry: 0Coventry, 12': Loum Tchaouna, 0.02 expected goalsCoventry, 41': Loum Tchaouna, 0.05 expected goalsCoventry, 66': Bobby Thomas, 0.02 expected goalsCoventry, 85': Jack Rudoni, 0.12 expected goalsCoventry: 0.21ArsenalCoventryGOAL Kai Havertz 14'GOAL Bukayo Saka 22'GOAL Martin Ødegaard 48'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsArsenalCoventry
In full2.040.21
Excluding penalties2.040.21
As the rating counts them1.570.21

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromArsenalCoventry
Open play1.770.21
of which counter-attacks0.460.00
Set pieces0.260.00
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.000.12
Inside the box1.480.12
Shots204
Expected goals a shot0.100.05

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
4:45ArsenalChristos Tzolis Missed0.08RegularPlayfoot16
6:30ArsenalBukayo Saka Blocked0.09RegularPlayfoot11
7:20ArsenalChristos Tzolis Saved0.06FromCornerfoot15
8:45ArsenalDeclan Rice Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot28
12:15CoventryLoum Tchaouna Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot29
14:34ArsenalKai Havertz Goal0.38RegularPlayfoot14
22:03ArsenalBukayo Saka Goal0.38FastBreakfoot8
32:57ArsenalBen White Blocked0.14RegularPlayfoot11
37:22ArsenalRiccardo Calafiori Blocked0.08RegularPlayfoot17
41:56CoventryLoum Tchaouna Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot21
45:24ArsenalMartin Ødegaard Blocked0.03FromCornerfoot25
46:05ArsenalDeclan Rice Missed0.03FromCornerfoot21
48:19ArsenalMartin Ødegaard Goal0.11RegularPlayfoot11
51:41ArsenalMyles Lewis-Skelly Missed0.16RegularPlayfoot21
60:31ArsenalChristos Tzolis Blocked0.08RegularPlayfoot16
61:21ArsenalBukayo Saka Blocked0.08FromCornerfoot15
64:54ArsenalChristos Tzolis Saved0.02FromCornerfoot21
66:21CoventryBobby Thomas Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot27
71:55ArsenalMartin Ødegaard Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot18
77:15ArsenalMikel Merino Blocked0.08FastBreakfoot18
81:30ArsenalGabriel Magalhães Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot24
85:13CoventryJack Rudoni Saved0.12RegularPlayhead8
90:16ArsenalMikel Merino Saved0.07RegularPlayfoot20
94:27ArsenalEberechi Eze Missed0.04DirectFreekickfoot30

Match statistics

ArsenalCoventry
Corners82
Shots204
Shots on target61
Shots off target62
Total passes616347
Pass accuracy %91.778.1
Fouls committed1013
Total yellow cards11

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.