Hull 2–0 Man Utd

2026-08-22 12:30, MKM Stadium. Half time 2–0. Semi Ajayi 16', Nobel Mendy 37'

2026-08-22 12:30
Hull
2–0
Man Utd
0.9
expected goals
-0.8 to Hull
1.7

Hull won with 0.9 expected goals to 1.7: the result went against the performance.

8Shots21
0.08Expected goals from open play1.44
0.85From set pieces0.31
0.92Excluding penalties1.74
0.70As the rating counts them1.64
0.8Points the chances deserved2.0

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Hull creates 0.78 and allows 1.73; Man Utd creates 1.48 and allows 1.18.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Hull win 18 per cent, draw 25, Man Utd win 57. Hull deserved 0.8 points and took 3; Man Utd deserved 2.0 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Hull attack this way →← Man Utd attack this wayBryan Mbeumo 12': 0.03 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 13': 0.05 expected goalsOliver McBurnie 14': 0.03 expected goalsOliver McBurnie 16': 0.07 expected goalsSemi Ajayi 16': 0.44 expected goals, GOALYouri Tielemans 19': 0.04 expected goalsMohamed Belloumi 20': 0.03 expected goalsPatrick Dorgu 24': 0.08 expected goalsPatrick Dorgu 28': 0.28 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 34': 0.05 expected goalsNobel Mendy 37': 0.28 expected goals, GOALPatrick Dorgu 43': 0.08 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 46': 0.04 expected goalsAyden Heaven 50': 0.01 expected goalsAyden Heaven 55': 0.09 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 58': 0.01 expected goalsMohamed Belloumi 61': 0.02 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 65': 0.07 expected goalsNoussair Mazraoui 66': 0.22 expected goalsCody Drameh 72': 0.03 expected goalsRyan Giles 74': 0.02 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 75': 0.05 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 77': 0.32 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 78': 0.12 expected goalsKobbie Mainoo 83': 0.04 expected goalsHarry Maguire 83': 0.04 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 88': 0.02 expected goalsBenjamin Sesko 92': 0.05 expected goalsHarry Maguire 94': 0.06 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001122334455667788MinuteHull: 0Hull, 14': Oliver McBurnie, 0.03 expected goalsHull, 16': Oliver McBurnie, 0.07 expected goalsHull, 16': Semi Ajayi, 0.44 expected goals, GOALHull, 20': Mohamed Belloumi, 0.03 expected goalsHull, 37': Nobel Mendy, 0.28 expected goals, GOALHull, 61': Mohamed Belloumi, 0.02 expected goalsHull, 72': Cody Drameh, 0.03 expected goalsHull, 74': Ryan Giles, 0.02 expected goalsHull: 0.92Man Utd: 0Man Utd, 12': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 13': Matheus Cunha, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 19': Youri Tielemans, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 24': Patrick Dorgu, 0.08 expected goalsMan Utd, 28': Patrick Dorgu, 0.28 expected goalsMan Utd, 34': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 43': Patrick Dorgu, 0.08 expected goalsMan Utd, 46': Bruno Fernandes, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 50': Ayden Heaven, 0.01 expected goalsMan Utd, 55': Ayden Heaven, 0.09 expected goalsMan Utd, 58': Bruno Fernandes, 0.01 expected goalsMan Utd, 65': Matheus Cunha, 0.07 expected goalsMan Utd, 66': Noussair Mazraoui, 0.22 expected goalsMan Utd, 75': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 77': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.32 expected goalsMan Utd, 78': Matheus Cunha, 0.12 expected goalsMan Utd, 83': Kobbie Mainoo, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 83': Harry Maguire, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 88': Bruno Fernandes, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 92': Benjamin Sesko, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 94': Harry Maguire, 0.06 expected goalsMan Utd: 1.74HullMan UtdGOAL Semi Ajayi 16'GOAL Nobel Mendy 37'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsHullMan Utd
In full0.921.74
Excluding penalties0.921.74
As the rating counts them0.701.64

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromHullMan Utd
Open play0.081.44
of which counter-attacks0.000.32
Set pieces0.850.31
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.310.35
Inside the box0.851.55
Shots821
Expected goals a shot0.120.08

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
12:24Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot17
13:49Man UtdMatheus Cunha Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot18
14:20HullOliver McBurnie Saved0.03RegularPlayhead12
16:48HullOliver McBurnie Saved0.07FromCornerfoot8
16:49HullSemi Ajayi Goal0.44FromCornerfoot4
19:02Man UtdYouri Tielemans Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot21
20:18HullMohamed Belloumi Missed0.03SetPiecefoot19
24:38Man UtdPatrick Dorgu Missed0.08RegularPlayfoot14
28:25Man UtdPatrick Dorgu Missed0.28RegularPlayfoot7
34:53Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot14
37:23HullNobel Mendy Goal0.28SetPiecehead5
43:55Man UtdPatrick Dorgu Missed0.08ThrowinSetPiecehead8
46:17Man UtdBruno Fernandes Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot22
50:33Man UtdAyden Heaven Missed0.01ThrowinSetPiecehead14
55:20Man UtdAyden Heaven Blocked0.09FromCornerhead7
58:41Man UtdBruno Fernandes Saved0.01RegularPlayfoot32
61:50HullMohamed Belloumi Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot27
65:22Man UtdMatheus Cunha Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot16
66:17Man UtdNoussair Mazraoui Missed0.22RegularPlayfoot7
72:41HullCody Drameh Missed0.03ThrowinSetPiecefoot22
74:24HullRyan Giles Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot26
75:01Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot19
77:20Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Saved0.32FastBreakfoot15
78:03Man UtdMatheus Cunha Missed0.12FromCornerhead7
83:09Man UtdKobbie Mainoo Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot22
83:51Man UtdHarry Maguire Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot23
88:15Man UtdBruno Fernandes Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot27
92:08Man UtdBenjamin Sesko Blocked0.05RegularPlayhead11
94:35Man UtdHarry Maguire Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot18

Match statistics

HullMan Utd
Corners16
Shots821
Shots on target45
Shots off target38
Total passes257669
Pass accuracy %70.087.9
Fouls committed109
Total yellow cards21

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.