Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace

2026-08-22 15:00, Hill Dickinson Stadium. Half time 1–0. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 41', Thierno Barry 52'

2026-08-22 15:00
1.4
expected goals
-0.6 to Everton
2.0

Everton won with 1.4 expected goals to 2.0: the result went against the performance.

16Shots11
1.02Expected goals from open play2.03
0.39From set pieces0.00
1.41Excluding penalties2.03
1.21As the rating counts them1.17
0.9Points the chances deserved1.9

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Everton creates 1.04 and allows 1.23; Crystal Palace creates 1.18 and allows 1.24.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Everton win 22 per cent, draw 24, Crystal Palace win 54. Everton deserved 0.9 points and took 3; Crystal Palace deserved 1.9 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Everton attack this way →← Crystal Palace attack this wayJean-Philippe Mateta 2': 0.86 expected goalsDwight McNeil 9': 0.05 expected goalsDaniel Muñoz 11': 0.07 expected goalsIliman Ndiaye 11': 0.09 expected goalsEddie Nketiah 16': 0.34 expected goalsTyrique George 17': 0.03 expected goalsJames Tarkowski 30': 0.05 expected goalsTyrique George 33': 0.03 expected goalsJean-Philippe Mateta 37': 0.30 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 41': 0.11 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 41': 0.20 expected goals, GOALThierno Barry 46': 0.14 expected goalsTyrique George 47': 0.02 expected goalsDaniel Muñoz 48': 0.10 expected goalsHayden Hackney 48': 0.03 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 50': 0.03 expected goalsThierno Barry 52': 0.28 expected goals, GOALIliman Ndiaye 55': 0.16 expected goalsYéremy Pino 61': 0.03 expected goalsEvann Guessand 65': 0.04 expected goalsTyrique George 72': 0.04 expected goalsTyrique George 72': 0.07 expected goalsJaydee Canvot 82': 0.05 expected goalsJørgen Strand Larsen 92': 0.17 expected goalsBeto 92': 0.06 expected goalsCharly Alcaraz 95': 0.05 expected goalsYéremy Pino 95': 0.04 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.502.0001122334455667788MinuteEverton: 0Everton, 11': Iliman Ndiaye, 0.09 expected goalsEverton, 17': Tyrique George, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 30': James Tarkowski, 0.05 expected goalsEverton, 33': Tyrique George, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 41': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.11 expected goalsEverton, 41': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.20 expected goals, GOALEverton, 46': Thierno Barry, 0.14 expected goalsEverton, 47': Tyrique George, 0.02 expected goalsEverton, 48': Hayden Hackney, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 50': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 52': Thierno Barry, 0.28 expected goals, GOALEverton, 55': Iliman Ndiaye, 0.16 expected goalsEverton, 72': Tyrique George, 0.04 expected goalsEverton, 72': Tyrique George, 0.07 expected goalsEverton, 92': Beto, 0.06 expected goalsEverton, 95': Charly Alcaraz, 0.05 expected goalsEverton: 1.41Crystal Palace: 0Crystal Palace, 2': Jean-Philippe Mateta, 0.86 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 9': Dwight McNeil, 0.05 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 11': Daniel Muñoz, 0.07 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 16': Eddie Nketiah, 0.34 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 37': Jean-Philippe Mateta, 0.30 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 48': Daniel Muñoz, 0.10 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 61': Yéremy Pino, 0.03 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 65': Evann Guessand, 0.04 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 82': Jaydee Canvot, 0.05 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 92': Jørgen Strand Larsen, 0.17 expected goalsCrystal Palace, 95': Yéremy Pino, 0.04 expected goalsCrystal Palace: 2.03EvertonCrystal PalaceGOAL Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 41'GOAL Thierno Barry 52'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsEvertonCrystal Palace
In full1.412.03
Excluding penalties1.412.03
As the rating counts them1.211.17

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromEvertonCrystal Palace
Open play1.022.03
of which counter-attacks0.161.15
Set pieces0.390.00
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.340.27
Inside the box1.131.92
Shots1611
Expected goals a shot0.090.18

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
2:51Crystal PalaceJean-Philippe Mateta Missed0.86FastBreakfoot6
9:50Crystal PalaceDwight McNeil Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot21
11:08Crystal PalaceDaniel Muñoz Saved0.07RegularPlayfoot14
11:58EvertonIliman Ndiaye Saved0.09RegularPlayfoot15
16:32Crystal PalaceEddie Nketiah Saved0.34RegularPlayfoot11
17:22EvertonTyrique George Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot24
30:47EvertonJames Tarkowski Missed0.05SetPiecehead10
33:37EvertonTyrique George Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot23
37:46Crystal PalaceJean-Philippe Mateta Post0.30FastBreakfoot11
41:36EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Blocked0.11RegularPlayfoot15
41:51EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Goal0.20RegularPlayfoot18
46:14EvertonThierno Barry Blocked0.14RegularPlayfoot24
47:48EvertonTyrique George Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot22
48:22Crystal PalaceDaniel Muñoz Missed0.10RegularPlayhead8
48:42EvertonHayden Hackney Blocked0.03FromCornerfoot22
50:30EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot24
52:32EvertonThierno Barry Goal0.28SetPiecehead5
55:28EvertonIliman Ndiaye Saved0.16FastBreakfoot12
61:22Crystal PalaceYéremy Pino Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot26
65:10Crystal PalaceEvann Guessand Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot21
72:42EvertonTyrique George Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot19
72:47EvertonTyrique George Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot13
82:54Crystal PalaceJaydee Canvot Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot18
92:08Crystal PalaceJørgen Strand Larsen Saved0.17RegularPlayhead7
92:24EvertonBeto Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot17
95:30EvertonCharly Alcaraz Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot19
95:57Crystal PalaceYéremy Pino Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot22

Match statistics

EvertonCrystal Palace
Corners40
Shots1611
Shots on target54
Shots off target44
Total passes417581
Pass accuracy %82.386.9
Fouls committed515
Total yellow cards01

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.