Bournemouth 1–1 Everton

2026-08-29 15:00, Vitality Stadium. Half time 1–0. Alex Scott 40'; James Tarkowski 90'

2026-08-29 15:00
Bournemouth
1–1
Everton
2.3
expected goals
+0.8 to Bournemouth
1.5

Bournemouth created more, 2.3 to 1.5 expected goals, and drew.

17Shots13
1.10Expected goals from open play1.33
1.21From set pieces0.18
2.32Excluding penalties1.51
1.94As the rating counts them0.82
1.9Points the chances deserved0.8

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Bournemouth creates 1.26 and allows 1.26; Everton creates 1.05 and allows 1.22.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Bournemouth win 57 per cent, draw 23, Everton win 20. Bournemouth deserved 1.9 points and took 1; Everton deserved 0.8 and took 1.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Bournemouth attack this way →← Everton attack this wayJustin Kluivert 3': 0.06 expected goalsIliman Ndiaye 8': 0.02 expected goalsJarrad Branthwaite 9': 0.07 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 10': 0.03 expected goalsRayan 14': 0.09 expected goalsIliman Ndiaye 16': 0.03 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 17': 0.03 expected goalsTyrique George 19': 0.03 expected goalsThierno Barry 19': 0.81 expected goalsRayan 21': 0.02 expected goalsJustin Kluivert 24': 0.05 expected goalsTyrique George 28': 0.02 expected goalsRayan 32': 0.03 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 33': 0.06 expected goalsAlex Scott 40': 0.14 expected goals, GOALThierno Barry 45': 0.14 expected goalsThierno Barry 48': 0.21 expected goalsJustin Kluivert 56': 0.08 expected goalsAntónio Silva 71': 0.30 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 74': 0.04 expected goalsJustin Kluivert 75': 0.45 expected goalsRayan 78': 0.14 expected goalsEvanilson 78': 0.24 expected goalsEvanilson 79': 0.37 expected goalsEvanilson 79': 0.09 expected goalsBeto 83': 0.04 expected goalsRayan 84': 0.09 expected goalsAlex Scott 84': 0.06 expected goalsJames Tarkowski 90': 0.04 expected goals, GOALCharly Alcaraz 92': 0.06 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.502.0001122334455667788MinuteBournemouth: 0Bournemouth, 3': Justin Kluivert, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth, 14': Rayan, 0.09 expected goalsBournemouth, 21': Rayan, 0.02 expected goalsBournemouth, 24': Justin Kluivert, 0.05 expected goalsBournemouth, 32': Rayan, 0.03 expected goalsBournemouth, 33': Marcus Tavernier, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth, 40': Alex Scott, 0.14 expected goals, GOALBournemouth, 56': Justin Kluivert, 0.08 expected goalsBournemouth, 71': António Silva, 0.30 expected goalsBournemouth, 74': Marcus Tavernier, 0.04 expected goalsBournemouth, 75': Justin Kluivert, 0.45 expected goalsBournemouth, 78': Rayan, 0.14 expected goalsBournemouth, 78': Evanilson, 0.24 expected goalsBournemouth, 79': Evanilson, 0.37 expected goalsBournemouth, 79': Evanilson, 0.09 expected goalsBournemouth, 84': Rayan, 0.09 expected goalsBournemouth, 84': Alex Scott, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth: 2.32Everton: 0Everton, 8': Iliman Ndiaye, 0.02 expected goalsEverton, 9': Jarrad Branthwaite, 0.07 expected goalsEverton, 10': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 16': Iliman Ndiaye, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 17': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 19': Tyrique George, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 19': Thierno Barry, 0.81 expected goalsEverton, 28': Tyrique George, 0.02 expected goalsEverton, 45': Thierno Barry, 0.14 expected goalsEverton, 48': Thierno Barry, 0.21 expected goalsEverton, 83': Beto, 0.04 expected goalsEverton, 90': James Tarkowski, 0.04 expected goals, GOALEverton, 92': Charly Alcaraz, 0.06 expected goalsEverton: 1.51BournemouthEvertonGOAL Alex Scott 40'GOAL James Tarkowski 90'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsBournemouthEverton
In full2.321.51
Excluding penalties2.321.51
As the rating counts them1.940.82

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromBournemouthEverton
Open play1.101.33
of which counter-attacks0.590.17
Set pieces1.210.18
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.760.07
Inside the box2.161.35
Shots1713
Expected goals a shot0.140.12

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
3:07BournemouthJustin Kluivert Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot15
8:43EvertonIliman Ndiaye Missed0.02SetPiecefoot27
9:28EvertonJarrad Branthwaite Saved0.07FromCornerhead7
10:08EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Saved0.03FromCornerfoot19
14:05BournemouthRayan Saved0.09RegularPlayfoot12
16:29EvertonIliman Ndiaye Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot25
17:13EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Missed0.03FromCornerfoot25
19:12EvertonTyrique George Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot23
19:13EvertonThierno Barry Saved0.81RegularPlayfoot5
21:49BournemouthRayan Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot27
24:56BournemouthJustin Kluivert Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot21
28:46EvertonTyrique George Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot27
32:33BournemouthRayan Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot24
33:21BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Missed0.06FastBreakfoot20
40:31BournemouthAlex Scott Goal0.14FastBreakfoot16
45:37EvertonThierno Barry Missed0.14FastBreakfoot15
48:19EvertonThierno Barry Saved0.21RegularPlayfoot11
56:16BournemouthJustin Kluivert Blocked0.08RegularPlayfoot16
71:43BournemouthAntónio Silva Missed0.30FromCornerhead4
74:57BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot20
75:41BournemouthJustin Kluivert Saved0.45FromCornerother3
78:30BournemouthRayan Saved0.14FastBreakfoot15
78:34BournemouthEvanilson Blocked0.24FastBreakfoot11
79:25BournemouthEvanilson Blocked0.37FromCornerhead4
79:59BournemouthEvanilson Missed0.09FromCornerhead7
83:01EvertonBeto Missed0.04FastBreakfoot27
84:44BournemouthRayan Blocked0.09RegularPlayfoot13
84:48BournemouthAlex Scott Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot19
90:52EvertonJames Tarkowski Goal0.04FromCornerfoot13
92:24EvertonCharly Alcaraz Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot16

Match statistics

BournemouthEverton
Corners107
Shots1713
Shots on target57
Shots off target56
Total passes453313
Pass accuracy %82.677.3
Fouls committed1114
Total yellow cards32

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.