Coventry 0–1 Hull

2026-08-29 15:00, Coventry Building Society Arena. Half time 0–0. Liam Millar 81'

2026-08-29 15:00
Coventry
0–1
Hull
1.2
expected goals
+0.8 to Coventry
0.4

Hull won with 0.4 expected goals to 1.2: the result went against the performance.

11Shots6
1.13Expected goals from open play0.38
0.02From set pieces0.01
1.15Excluding penalties0.39
0.88As the rating counts them0.39
2.1Points the chances deserved0.6

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Coventry creates 0.97 and allows 1.39; Hull creates 0.79 and allows 1.71.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Coventry win 59 per cent, draw 30, Hull win 11. Coventry deserved 2.1 points and took 0; Hull deserved 0.6 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Coventry attack this way →← Hull attack this wayTaiwo Awoniyi 3': 0.13 expected goalsLoum Tchaouna 5': 0.04 expected goalsJack Rudoni 6': 0.05 expected goalsCaleb Yirenkyi 17': 0.04 expected goalsElliot Stroud 20': 0.02 expected goalsTaiwo Awoniyi 21': 0.07 expected goalsAurèle Amenda 21': 0.01 expected goalsTaiwo Awoniyi 34': 0.12 expected goalsTaiwo Awoniyi 37': 0.52 expected goalsNobel Mendy 49': 0.01 expected goalsTatsuhiro Sakamoto 69': 0.03 expected goalsMatt Grimes 70': 0.02 expected goalsLiam Millar 73': 0.16 expected goalsMohamed Belloumi 78': 0.08 expected goalsLiam Millar 81': 0.13 expected goals, GOALJay Dasilva 90': 0.12 expected goalsLiam Millar 94': 0.00 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.250.500.751.0001122334455667788MinuteCoventry: 0Coventry, 3': Taiwo Awoniyi, 0.13 expected goalsCoventry, 5': Loum Tchaouna, 0.04 expected goalsCoventry, 6': Jack Rudoni, 0.05 expected goalsCoventry, 17': Caleb Yirenkyi, 0.04 expected goalsCoventry, 21': Taiwo Awoniyi, 0.07 expected goalsCoventry, 21': Aurèle Amenda, 0.01 expected goalsCoventry, 34': Taiwo Awoniyi, 0.12 expected goalsCoventry, 37': Taiwo Awoniyi, 0.52 expected goalsCoventry, 69': Tatsuhiro Sakamoto, 0.03 expected goalsCoventry, 70': Matt Grimes, 0.02 expected goalsCoventry, 90': Jay Dasilva, 0.12 expected goalsCoventry: 1.15Hull: 0Hull, 20': Elliot Stroud, 0.02 expected goalsHull, 49': Nobel Mendy, 0.01 expected goalsHull, 73': Liam Millar, 0.16 expected goalsHull, 78': Mohamed Belloumi, 0.08 expected goalsHull, 81': Liam Millar, 0.13 expected goals, GOALHull, 94': Liam Millar, 0.00 expected goalsHull: 0.39CoventryHullGOAL Liam Millar 81'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsCoventryHull
In full1.150.39
Excluding penalties1.150.39
As the rating counts them0.880.39

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromCoventryHull
Open play1.130.38
of which counter-attacks0.000.29
Set pieces0.020.01
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.350.00
Inside the box1.030.23
Shots116
Expected goals a shot0.100.07

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
3:16CoventryTaiwo Awoniyi Blocked0.13RegularPlayfoot17
5:10CoventryLoum Tchaouna Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot23
6:43CoventryJack Rudoni Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot20
17:19CoventryCaleb Yirenkyi Blocked0.04RegularPlayhead11
20:27HullElliot Stroud Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot29
21:06CoventryTaiwo Awoniyi Saved0.07RegularPlayhead10
21:58CoventryAurèle Amenda Missed0.01RegularPlayfoot33
34:13CoventryTaiwo Awoniyi Missed0.12RegularPlayhead8
37:20CoventryTaiwo Awoniyi Saved0.52RegularPlayfoot4
49:54HullNobel Mendy Saved0.01ThrowinSetPiecefoot29
69:20CoventryTatsuhiro Sakamoto Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot24
70:02CoventryMatt Grimes Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot25
73:20HullLiam Millar Missed0.16FastBreakfoot16
78:31HullMohamed Belloumi Missed0.08RegularPlayfoot7
81:15HullLiam Millar Goal0.13FastBreakfoot18
90:22CoventryJay Dasilva Saved0.12RegularPlayhead8
94:11HullLiam Millar Missed0.00RegularPlayfoot61

Match statistics

CoventryHull
Corners62
Shots116
Shots on target32
Shots off target34
Total passes584271
Pass accuracy %85.867.2
Fouls committed118
Total yellow cards14

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.