Tottenham 0–2 Newcastle

2026-08-29 17:30, Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Half time 0–0. Anthony Elanga 61', Yoane Wissa 71'

2026-08-29 17:30
Tottenham
0–2
Newcastle
1.4
expected goals
+0.7 to Tottenham
0.7

Newcastle won with 0.7 expected goals to 1.4: the result went against the performance.

17Shots11
1.11Expected goals from open play0.42
0.27From set pieces0.30
1.38Excluding penalties0.72
1.13As the rating counts them0.72
1.9Points the chances deserved0.8

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Tottenham creates 1.21 and allows 1.34; Newcastle creates 1.32 and allows 1.27.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Tottenham win 54 per cent, draw 28, Newcastle win 18. Tottenham deserved 1.9 points and took 0; Newcastle deserved 0.8 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Tottenham attack this way →← Newcastle attack this wayAnthony Elanga 0': 0.07 expected goalsHarvey Barnes 8': 0.07 expected goalsMathys Tel 14': 0.05 expected goalsSandro Tonali 16': 0.03 expected goalsPedro Porro 16': 0.37 expected goalsPedro Porro 21': 0.02 expected goalsJoe Willock 23': 0.05 expected goalsOmar Marmoush 32': 0.02 expected goalsJoe Willock 32': 0.06 expected goalsYoane Wissa 33': 0.11 expected goalsAndy Robertson 35': 0.04 expected goalsJan Paul van Hecke 36': 0.09 expected goalsPedro Porro 43': 0.04 expected goalsLewis Hall 48': 0.05 expected goalsMathys Tel 49': 0.06 expected goalsSven Botman 54': 0.02 expected goalsOmar Marmoush 59': 0.02 expected goalsJoe Willock 60': 0.01 expected goalsAnthony Elanga 61': 0.10 expected goals, GOALMathys Tel 66': 0.06 expected goalsPedro Porro 69': 0.02 expected goalsMateus Fernandes 70': 0.01 expected goalsNick Woltemade 71': 0.02 expected goalsYoane Wissa 71': 0.17 expected goals, GOALMikey Moore 84': 0.02 expected goalsOmar Marmoush 86': 0.27 expected goalsMohammed Kudus 87': 0.05 expected goalsDominic Solanke 91': 0.21 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.0001122334455667788MinuteTottenham: 0Tottenham, 14': Mathys Tel, 0.05 expected goalsTottenham, 16': Sandro Tonali, 0.03 expected goalsTottenham, 16': Pedro Porro, 0.37 expected goalsTottenham, 21': Pedro Porro, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 32': Omar Marmoush, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 35': Andy Robertson, 0.04 expected goalsTottenham, 36': Jan Paul van Hecke, 0.09 expected goalsTottenham, 43': Pedro Porro, 0.04 expected goalsTottenham, 49': Mathys Tel, 0.06 expected goalsTottenham, 59': Omar Marmoush, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 66': Mathys Tel, 0.06 expected goalsTottenham, 69': Pedro Porro, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 70': Mateus Fernandes, 0.01 expected goalsTottenham, 84': Mikey Moore, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 86': Omar Marmoush, 0.27 expected goalsTottenham, 87': Mohammed Kudus, 0.05 expected goalsTottenham, 91': Dominic Solanke, 0.21 expected goalsTottenham: 1.38Newcastle: 0Newcastle, 0': Anthony Elanga, 0.07 expected goalsNewcastle, 8': Harvey Barnes, 0.07 expected goalsNewcastle, 23': Joe Willock, 0.05 expected goalsNewcastle, 32': Joe Willock, 0.06 expected goalsNewcastle, 33': Yoane Wissa, 0.11 expected goalsNewcastle, 48': Lewis Hall, 0.05 expected goalsNewcastle, 54': Sven Botman, 0.02 expected goalsNewcastle, 60': Joe Willock, 0.01 expected goalsNewcastle, 61': Anthony Elanga, 0.10 expected goals, GOALNewcastle, 71': Nick Woltemade, 0.02 expected goalsNewcastle, 71': Yoane Wissa, 0.17 expected goals, GOALNewcastle: 0.72TottenhamNewcastleGOAL Anthony Elanga 61'GOAL Yoane Wissa 71'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsTottenhamNewcastle
In full1.380.72
Excluding penalties1.380.72
As the rating counts them1.130.72

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromTottenhamNewcastle
Open play1.110.42
of which counter-attacks0.000.00
Set pieces0.270.30
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.090.13
Inside the box1.160.57
Shots1711
Expected goals a shot0.080.07

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
0:37NewcastleAnthony Elanga Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot14
8:33NewcastleHarvey Barnes Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot18
14:51TottenhamMathys Tel Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot19
16:29TottenhamSandro Tonali Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot20
16:33TottenhamPedro Porro Saved0.37RegularPlayfoot9
21:11TottenhamPedro Porro Missed0.02FromCornerfoot21
23:47NewcastleJoe Willock Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot20
32:09TottenhamOmar Marmoush Missed0.02FromCornerfoot13
32:49NewcastleJoe Willock Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot17
33:23NewcastleYoane Wissa Missed0.11FromCornerhead6
35:56TottenhamAndy Robertson Saved0.04ThrowinSetPiecefoot14
36:31TottenhamJan Paul van Hecke Saved0.09FromCornerhead7
43:16TottenhamPedro Porro Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot22
48:57NewcastleLewis Hall Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot18
49:29TottenhamMathys Tel Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot19
54:08NewcastleSven Botman Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot29
59:13TottenhamOmar Marmoush Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot30
60:19NewcastleJoe Willock Missed0.01RegularPlayfoot31
61:07NewcastleAnthony Elanga Goal0.10RegularPlayfoot14
66:59TottenhamMathys Tel Missed0.06DirectFreekickfoot25
69:30TottenhamPedro Porro Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot25
70:05TottenhamMateus Fernandes Missed0.01FromCornerfoot27
71:51NewcastleNick Woltemade Blocked0.02FromCornerhead11
71:54NewcastleYoane Wissa Goal0.17FromCornerfoot6
84:38TottenhamMikey Moore Missed0.02FromCornerfoot26
86:34TottenhamOmar Marmoush Saved0.27RegularPlayfoot12
87:53TottenhamMohammed Kudus Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot19
91:50TottenhamDominic Solanke Saved0.21RegularPlayfoot9

Match statistics

TottenhamNewcastle
Corners97
Shots1711
Shots on target62
Shots off target87
Total passes498373
Pass accuracy %88.884.2
Fouls committed159
Total yellow cards12

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.