Man Utd 0–1 Man City

2026-09-13 16:30, Old Trafford. Half time 0–0. Erling Haaland 59'

2026-09-13 16:30
Man Utd
0–1
Man City
0.7
expected goals
+0.1 to Man Utd
0.6

Man City won a match that was close on chances, 0.6 to 0.7 expected goals.

16Shots6
0.46Expected goals from open play0.42
0.23From set pieces0.18
0.69Excluding penalties0.60
0.69As the rating counts them0.59
1.4Points the chances deserved1.2

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Man Utd creates 1.51 and allows 1.19; Man City creates 1.82 and allows 1.00.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Man Utd win 32 per cent, draw 40, Man City win 28. Man Utd deserved 1.4 points and took 0; Man City deserved 1.2 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Man Utd attack this way →← Man City attack this wayEnzo Fernández 2': 0.04 expected goalsLisandro Martínez 6': 0.03 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 10': 0.03 expected goalsMarcus Rashford 20': 0.05 expected goalsRayan Cherki 26': 0.02 expected goalsHarry Maguire 41': 0.01 expected goalsMarcus Rashford 44': 0.05 expected goalsDiogo Dalot 46': 0.03 expected goalsKobbie Mainoo 50': 0.04 expected goalsMarcus Rashford 51': 0.09 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 54': 0.03 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 55': 0.05 expected goalsErling Haaland 59': 0.26 expected goals, GOALEnzo Fernández 68': 0.11 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 69': 0.02 expected goalsBenjamin Sesko 70': 0.04 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 72': 0.06 expected goalsErling Haaland 75': 0.14 expected goalsJosko Gvardiol 82': 0.02 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 85': 0.04 expected goalsHarry Maguire 85': 0.06 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 94': 0.09 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.200.400.6001122334455667788MinuteMan Utd: 0Man Utd, 6': Lisandro Martínez, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 10': Matheus Cunha, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 20': Marcus Rashford, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 41': Harry Maguire, 0.01 expected goalsMan Utd, 44': Marcus Rashford, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 46': Diogo Dalot, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 50': Kobbie Mainoo, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 51': Marcus Rashford, 0.09 expected goalsMan Utd, 54': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 55': Matheus Cunha, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 69': Bruno Fernandes, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 70': Benjamin Sesko, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 72': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.06 expected goalsMan Utd, 85': Matheus Cunha, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 85': Harry Maguire, 0.06 expected goalsMan Utd, 94': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.09 expected goalsMan Utd: 0.69Man City: 0Man City, 2': Enzo Fernández, 0.04 expected goalsMan City, 26': Rayan Cherki, 0.02 expected goalsMan City, 59': Erling Haaland, 0.26 expected goals, GOALMan City, 68': Enzo Fernández, 0.11 expected goalsMan City, 75': Erling Haaland, 0.14 expected goalsMan City, 82': Josko Gvardiol, 0.02 expected goalsMan City: 0.60Man UtdMan CityGOAL Erling Haaland 59'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsMan UtdMan City
In full0.690.60
Excluding penalties0.690.60
As the rating counts them0.690.59

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromMan UtdMan City
Open play0.460.42
of which counter-attacks0.150.11
Set pieces0.230.18
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.120.00
Inside the box0.380.40
Shots166
Expected goals a shot0.040.10

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
2:55Man CityEnzo Fernández Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot20
6:15Man UtdLisandro Martínez Saved0.03SetPiecefoot22
10:53Man UtdMatheus Cunha Missed0.03FastBreakfoot29
20:17Man UtdMarcus Rashford Blocked0.05ThrowinSetPiecefoot17
26:38Man CityRayan Cherki Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot19
41:23Man UtdHarry Maguire Missed0.01RegularPlayfoot30
44:47Man UtdMarcus Rashford Post0.05DirectFreekickfoot27
46:33Man UtdDiogo Dalot Missed0.03FromCornerfoot22
50:32Man UtdKobbie Mainoo Post0.04RegularPlayfoot23
51:01Man UtdMarcus Rashford Blocked0.09FastBreakfoot15
54:54Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot25
55:48Man UtdMatheus Cunha Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot20
59:27Man CityErling Haaland Goal0.26RegularPlayfoot6
68:01Man CityEnzo Fernández Saved0.11FastBreakfoot18
69:27Man UtdBruno Fernandes Saved0.02ThrowinSetPiecefoot27
70:30Man UtdBenjamin Sesko Blocked0.04FastBreakfoot25
72:43Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Missed0.06RegularPlayhead10
75:23Man CityErling Haaland Missed0.14SetPiecefoot9
82:57Man CityJosko Gvardiol Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot25
85:06Man UtdMatheus Cunha Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot23
85:35Man UtdHarry Maguire Missed0.06FromCornerhead8
94:17Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Saved0.09RegularPlayfoot13

Match statistics

Man UtdMan City
Corners67
Shots166
Shots on target32
Shots off target91
Total passes487403
Pass accuracy %87.382.1
Fouls committed1710
Total yellow cards12

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.