Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal

2026-09-12 20:00, Stadium of Light. Half time 0–0. Bruno Guimarães 57', Bukayo Saka 96'

2026-09-12 20:00
Sunderland
0–2
Arsenal
1.6
expected goals
-0.2 to Sunderland
1.9

Arsenal won a match that was close on chances, 1.9 to 1.6 expected goals.

12Shots11
0.40Expected goals from open play0.99
0.42From set pieces0.04
0.82From penalties0.82
0.83Excluding penalties1.03
1.19As the rating counts them1.27
1.2Points the chances deserved1.5

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Sunderland creates 0.93 and allows 1.28; Arsenal creates 1.67 and allows 0.86.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Sunderland win 29 per cent, draw 30, Arsenal win 41. Sunderland deserved 1.2 points and took 0; Arsenal deserved 1.5 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Sunderland attack this way →← Arsenal attack this wayEnzo Le Fée 5': 0.00 expected goalsRiccardo Calafiori 6': 0.08 expected goalsBukayo Saka 12': 0.42 expected goalsDan Ballard 15': 0.06 expected goalsGabriel Magalhães 22': 0.02 expected goalsKai Havertz 30': 0.12 expected goalsKai Havertz 32': 0.09 expected goalsNordi Mukiele 34': 0.02 expected goalsThomas Meunier 41': 0.05 expected goalsEnzo Le Fée 43': 0.02 expected goalsThomas Meunier 46': 0.03 expected goalsNoah Sadiki 47': 0.03 expected goalsEnzo Le Fée 55': 0.82 expected goalsBruno Guimarães 57': 0.04 expected goals, GOALThomas Meunier 63': 0.03 expected goalsBukayo Saka 71': 0.05 expected goalsBukayo Saka 73': 0.12 expected goalsKai Havertz 74': 0.04 expected goalsBruno Guimarães 74': 0.04 expected goalsNordi Mukiele 75': 0.30 expected goalsNordi Mukiele 82': 0.08 expected goalsNordi Mukiele 83': 0.21 expected goalsBukayo Saka 96': 0.82 expected goals, GOAL

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001224364860728496MinuteSunderland: 0Sunderland, 5': Enzo Le Fée, 0.00 expected goalsSunderland, 15': Dan Ballard, 0.06 expected goalsSunderland, 34': Nordi Mukiele, 0.02 expected goalsSunderland, 41': Thomas Meunier, 0.05 expected goalsSunderland, 43': Enzo Le Fée, 0.02 expected goalsSunderland, 46': Thomas Meunier, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland, 47': Noah Sadiki, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland, 55': Enzo Le Fée, 0.82 expected goalsSunderland, 63': Thomas Meunier, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland, 75': Nordi Mukiele, 0.30 expected goalsSunderland, 82': Nordi Mukiele, 0.08 expected goalsSunderland, 83': Nordi Mukiele, 0.21 expected goalsSunderland: 1.64Arsenal: 0Arsenal, 6': Riccardo Calafiori, 0.08 expected goalsArsenal, 12': Bukayo Saka, 0.42 expected goalsArsenal, 22': Gabriel Magalhães, 0.02 expected goalsArsenal, 30': Kai Havertz, 0.12 expected goalsArsenal, 32': Kai Havertz, 0.09 expected goalsArsenal, 57': Bruno Guimarães, 0.04 expected goals, GOALArsenal, 71': Bukayo Saka, 0.05 expected goalsArsenal, 73': Bukayo Saka, 0.12 expected goalsArsenal, 74': Kai Havertz, 0.04 expected goalsArsenal, 74': Bruno Guimarães, 0.04 expected goalsArsenal, 96': Bukayo Saka, 0.82 expected goals, GOALArsenal: 1.85SunderlandArsenalGOAL Bruno Guimarães 57'GOAL Bukayo Saka 96'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsSunderlandArsenal
In full1.641.85
Excluding penalties0.831.03
As the rating counts them1.191.27

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromSunderlandArsenal
Open play0.400.99
of which counter-attacks0.000.12
Set pieces0.420.04
Penalties0.820.82
Headers0.000.04
Inside the box0.700.92
Shots1211
Expected goals a shot0.140.17

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
5:36SunderlandEnzo Le Fée Missed0.00FastBreakfoot59
6:06ArsenalRiccardo Calafiori Blocked0.08RegularPlayfoot16
12:07ArsenalBukayo Saka Saved0.42RegularPlayfoot9
15:37SunderlandDan Ballard Missed0.06SetPieceother8
22:58ArsenalGabriel Magalhães Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot28
30:22ArsenalKai Havertz Missed0.12RegularPlayfoot12
32:54ArsenalKai Havertz Saved0.09RegularPlayfoot13
34:41SunderlandNordi Mukiele Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot28
41:26SunderlandThomas Meunier Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot18
43:20SunderlandEnzo Le Fée Missed0.02FromCornerfoot26
46:12SunderlandThomas Meunier Saved0.03ThrowinSetPiecefoot16
47:29SunderlandNoah Sadiki Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot22
55:40SunderlandEnzo Le Fée Saved0.82Penaltyfoot11
57:41ArsenalBruno Guimarães Goal0.04RegularPlayfoot22
63:10SunderlandThomas Meunier Blocked0.03SetPiecefoot20
71:05ArsenalBukayo Saka Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot20
73:35ArsenalBukayo Saka Saved0.12FastBreakfoot14
74:16ArsenalKai Havertz Missed0.04FromCornerhead9
74:38ArsenalBruno Guimarães Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot20
75:51SunderlandNordi Mukiele Blocked0.30RegularPlayfoot8
82:21SunderlandNordi Mukiele Missed0.08FromCornerfoot10
83:50SunderlandNordi Mukiele Saved0.21FromCornerfoot6
96:57ArsenalBukayo Saka Goal0.82Penaltyfoot11

Match statistics

SunderlandArsenal
Corners43
Shots1211
Shots on target35
Shots off target54
Total passes284386
Pass accuracy %76.482.9
Fouls committed1811
Total yellow cards52

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.