Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool

2026-09-20 14:00, Vitality Stadium. Half time 0–0. Alexander Isak 56'

2026-09-20 14:00
Bournemouth
0–1
Liverpool
0.9
expected goals
-0.7 to Bournemouth
1.5

Liverpool created more, 1.5 to 0.9 expected goals, and won.

9Shots12
0.82Expected goals from open play1.42
0.07From set pieces0.12
0.89Excluding penalties1.55
0.68As the rating counts them1.41
0.9Points the chances deserved1.9

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Bournemouth creates 1.28 and allows 1.24; Liverpool creates 1.57 and allows 1.14.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Bournemouth win 19 per cent, draw 27, Liverpool win 53. Bournemouth deserved 0.9 points and took 0; Liverpool deserved 1.9 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Bournemouth attack this way →← Liverpool attack this wayDominik Szoboszlai 9': 0.07 expected goalsEvanilson 17': 0.13 expected goalsRyan Christie 18': 0.01 expected goalsCody Gakpo 25': 0.11 expected goalsBradley Barcola 32': 0.05 expected goalsFlorian Wirtz 33': 0.12 expected goalsCody Gakpo 33': 0.06 expected goalsDominik Szoboszlai 34': 0.05 expected goalsRyan Christie 35': 0.06 expected goalsAlexander Isak 40': 0.04 expected goalsRyan Christie 52': 0.46 expected goalsRyan Christie 54': 0.03 expected goalsFlorian Wirtz 56': 0.25 expected goalsAlexander Isak 56': 0.33 expected goals, GOALMilos Kerkez 60': 0.04 expected goalsEvanilson 67': 0.05 expected goalsAlexander Isak 69': 0.30 expected goalsAdrien Truffert 84': 0.01 expected goalsAlex Scott 86': 0.08 expected goalsAlex Scott 89': 0.06 expected goalsLewis Koumas 91': 0.13 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001122334455667788MinuteBournemouth: 0Bournemouth, 17': Evanilson, 0.13 expected goalsBournemouth, 18': Ryan Christie, 0.01 expected goalsBournemouth, 35': Ryan Christie, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth, 52': Ryan Christie, 0.46 expected goalsBournemouth, 54': Ryan Christie, 0.03 expected goalsBournemouth, 67': Evanilson, 0.05 expected goalsBournemouth, 84': Adrien Truffert, 0.01 expected goalsBournemouth, 86': Alex Scott, 0.08 expected goalsBournemouth, 89': Alex Scott, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth: 0.89Liverpool: 0Liverpool, 9': Dominik Szoboszlai, 0.07 expected goalsLiverpool, 25': Cody Gakpo, 0.11 expected goalsLiverpool, 32': Bradley Barcola, 0.05 expected goalsLiverpool, 33': Florian Wirtz, 0.12 expected goalsLiverpool, 33': Cody Gakpo, 0.06 expected goalsLiverpool, 34': Dominik Szoboszlai, 0.05 expected goalsLiverpool, 40': Alexander Isak, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 56': Florian Wirtz, 0.25 expected goalsLiverpool, 56': Alexander Isak, 0.33 expected goals, GOALLiverpool, 60': Milos Kerkez, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 69': Alexander Isak, 0.30 expected goalsLiverpool, 91': Lewis Koumas, 0.13 expected goalsLiverpool: 1.55BournemouthLiverpoolGOAL Alexander Isak 56'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsBournemouthLiverpool
In full0.891.55
Excluding penalties0.891.55
As the rating counts them0.681.41

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromBournemouthLiverpool
Open play0.821.42
of which counter-attacks0.000.11
Set pieces0.070.12
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.010.00
Inside the box0.741.23
Shots912
Expected goals a shot0.100.13

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
9:11LiverpoolDominik Szoboszlai Missed0.07DirectFreekickfoot23
17:34BournemouthEvanilson Saved0.13RegularPlayfoot8
18:11BournemouthRyan Christie Missed0.01FromCornerhead14
25:08LiverpoolCody Gakpo Blocked0.11FastBreakfoot18
32:59LiverpoolBradley Barcola Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot19
33:03LiverpoolFlorian Wirtz Blocked0.12RegularPlayfoot14
33:05LiverpoolCody Gakpo Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot18
34:09LiverpoolDominik Szoboszlai Missed0.05DirectFreekickfoot26
35:12BournemouthRyan Christie Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot16
40:17LiverpoolAlexander Isak Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot23
52:20BournemouthRyan Christie Missed0.46RegularPlayfoot5
54:33BournemouthRyan Christie Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot23
56:54LiverpoolFlorian Wirtz Blocked0.25RegularPlayfoot8
56:55LiverpoolAlexander Isak Goal0.33RegularPlayfoot7
60:12LiverpoolMilos Kerkez Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot22
67:18BournemouthEvanilson Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot19
69:08LiverpoolAlexander Isak Blocked0.30RegularPlayfoot13
84:19BournemouthAdrien Truffert Missed0.01RegularPlayfoot34
86:38BournemouthAlex Scott Blocked0.08RegularPlayfoot20
89:50BournemouthAlex Scott Missed0.06DirectFreekickfoot24
91:58LiverpoolLewis Koumas Saved0.13RegularPlayfoot13

Match statistics

BournemouthLiverpool
Corners33
Shots912
Shots on target23
Shots off target53
Total passes383473
Pass accuracy %77.881.6
Fouls committed1113
Total yellow cards12

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.