Everton 1–0 Ipswich

2026-09-19 15:00, Hill Dickinson Stadium. Half time 1–0. Thierno Barry 10'

2026-09-19 15:00
Everton
1–0
Ipswich
1.7
expected goals
+0.2 to Everton
1.5

Everton won a match that was close on chances, 1.7 to 1.5 expected goals.

21Shots13
1.60Expected goals from open play1.37
0.05From set pieces0.12
1.65Excluding penalties1.50
1.58As the rating counts them1.28
1.5Points the chances deserved1.3

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Everton creates 1.04 and allows 1.21; Ipswich creates 0.96 and allows 1.45.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Everton win 41 per cent, draw 25, Ipswich win 34. Everton deserved 1.5 points and took 3; Ipswich deserved 1.3 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Everton attack this way →← Ipswich attack this wayKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 1': 0.02 expected goalsBrennan Johnson 4': 0.33 expected goalsEmersonn 8': 0.19 expected goalsJames Tarkowski 10': 0.02 expected goalsThierno Barry 10': 0.19 expected goals, GOALJulio Enciso 17': 0.30 expected goalsAbdul Fatawu 18': 0.06 expected goalsAbdul Fatawu 25': 0.00 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 30': 0.03 expected goalsVitalii Mykolenko 31': 0.07 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 32': 0.06 expected goalsJames Garner 32': 0.07 expected goalsThierno Barry 32': 0.09 expected goalsEmersonn 34': 0.09 expected goalsLeif Davis 37': 0.27 expected goalsJames Garner 43': 0.04 expected goalsJulio Enciso 45': 0.19 expected goalsAbdoul Ouattara 48': 0.04 expected goalsJulio Enciso 62': 0.04 expected goalsThierno Barry 63': 0.09 expected goalsBrennan Johnson 65': 0.12 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 68': 0.05 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 70': 0.03 expected goalsHarrison Armstrong 72': 0.02 expected goalsTyler Dibling 75': 0.05 expected goalsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 75': 0.15 expected goalsTyler Dibling 76': 0.06 expected goalsTyler Dibling 81': 0.07 expected goalsJaden Philogene 84': 0.04 expected goalsChuba Akpom 85': 0.14 expected goalsHarrison Armstrong 85': 0.06 expected goalsTyrique George 88': 0.03 expected goalsZian Flemming 93': 0.07 expected goalsIssa Diop 96': 0.07 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001224364860728496MinuteEverton: 0Everton, 1': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.02 expected goalsEverton, 4': Brennan Johnson, 0.33 expected goalsEverton, 10': James Tarkowski, 0.02 expected goalsEverton, 10': Thierno Barry, 0.19 expected goals, GOALEverton, 30': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 31': Vitalii Mykolenko, 0.07 expected goalsEverton, 32': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.06 expected goalsEverton, 32': James Garner, 0.07 expected goalsEverton, 32': Thierno Barry, 0.09 expected goalsEverton, 43': James Garner, 0.04 expected goalsEverton, 63': Thierno Barry, 0.09 expected goalsEverton, 65': Brennan Johnson, 0.12 expected goalsEverton, 68': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.05 expected goalsEverton, 70': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.03 expected goalsEverton, 72': Harrison Armstrong, 0.02 expected goalsEverton, 75': Tyler Dibling, 0.05 expected goalsEverton, 75': Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, 0.15 expected goalsEverton, 76': Tyler Dibling, 0.06 expected goalsEverton, 81': Tyler Dibling, 0.07 expected goalsEverton, 85': Harrison Armstrong, 0.06 expected goalsEverton, 88': Tyrique George, 0.03 expected goalsEverton: 1.65Ipswich: 0Ipswich, 8': Emersonn, 0.19 expected goalsIpswich, 17': Julio Enciso, 0.30 expected goalsIpswich, 18': Abdul Fatawu, 0.06 expected goalsIpswich, 25': Abdul Fatawu, 0.00 expected goalsIpswich, 34': Emersonn, 0.09 expected goalsIpswich, 37': Leif Davis, 0.27 expected goalsIpswich, 45': Julio Enciso, 0.19 expected goalsIpswich, 48': Abdoul Ouattara, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 62': Julio Enciso, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 84': Jaden Philogene, 0.04 expected goalsIpswich, 85': Chuba Akpom, 0.14 expected goalsIpswich, 93': Zian Flemming, 0.07 expected goalsIpswich, 96': Issa Diop, 0.07 expected goalsIpswich: 1.50EvertonIpswichGOAL Thierno Barry 10'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsEvertonIpswich
In full1.651.50
Excluding penalties1.651.50
As the rating counts them1.581.28

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromEvertonIpswich
Open play1.601.37
of which counter-attacks0.000.00
Set pieces0.050.12
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.330.09
Inside the box1.351.38
Shots2113
Expected goals a shot0.080.12

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
1:13EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Missed0.02ThrowinSetPiecefoot22
4:36EvertonBrennan Johnson Missed0.33RegularPlayfoot12
8:35IpswichEmersonn Saved0.19RegularPlayfoot16
10:01EvertonJames Tarkowski Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot26
10:02EvertonThierno Barry Goal0.19RegularPlayother9
17:20IpswichJulio Enciso Blocked0.30RegularPlayfoot13
18:41IpswichAbdul Fatawu Saved0.06FromCornerfoot24
25:44IpswichAbdul Fatawu Missed0.00FastBreakfoot58
30:13EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot22
31:04EvertonVitalii Mykolenko Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot14
32:10EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot19
32:11EvertonJames Garner Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot18
32:34EvertonThierno Barry Missed0.09RegularPlayhead9
34:09IpswichEmersonn Missed0.09RegularPlayhead9
37:21IpswichLeif Davis Missed0.27RegularPlayfoot6
43:27EvertonJames Garner Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot21
45:30IpswichJulio Enciso Saved0.19RegularPlayfoot14
48:24IpswichAbdoul Ouattara Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot31
62:16IpswichJulio Enciso Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot23
63:12EvertonThierno Barry Missed0.09RegularPlayhead9
65:04EvertonBrennan Johnson Missed0.12RegularPlayfoot14
68:09EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot20
70:37EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Missed0.03FromCornerfoot16
72:29EvertonHarrison Armstrong Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot26
75:06EvertonTyler Dibling Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot20
75:50EvertonKiernan Dewsbury-Hall Missed0.15RegularPlayhead7
76:26EvertonTyler Dibling Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot13
81:24EvertonTyler Dibling Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot12
84:40IpswichJaden Philogene Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot22
85:19IpswichChuba Akpom Blocked0.14RegularPlayfoot13
85:57EvertonHarrison Armstrong Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot18
88:02EvertonTyrique George Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot24
93:23IpswichZian Flemming Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot15
96:25IpswichIssa Diop Blocked0.07SetPiecefoot15

Match statistics

EvertonIpswich
Corners44
Shots2113
Shots on target24
Shots off target115
Total passes513472
Pass accuracy %83.881.8
Fouls committed612
Total yellow cards22

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.