Fulham 1–1 Man Utd

2026-09-20 16:30, Craven Cottage. Half time 0–0. Lisandro Martínez 62' (own goal); Matheus Cunha 88'

2026-09-20 16:30
Fulham
1–1
Man Utd
1.4
expected goals
-1.0 to Fulham
2.4

Man Utd created more, 2.4 to 1.4 expected goals, and drew.

12Shots29
1.41Expected goals from open play1.95
0.00From set pieces0.46
1.41Excluding penalties2.41
1.23As the rating counts them1.84
0.8Points the chances deserved2.0

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Fulham creates 1.11 and allows 1.24; Man Utd creates 1.49 and allows 1.18.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Fulham win 18 per cent, draw 20, Man Utd win 61. Fulham deserved 0.8 points and took 1; Man Utd deserved 2.0 and took 1.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Fulham attack this way →← Man Utd attack this wayGonzalo García 3': 0.06 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 8': 0.13 expected goalsLisandro Martínez 9': 0.02 expected goalsLisandro Martínez 9': 0.03 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 10': 0.02 expected goalsGonzalo García 17': 0.35 expected goalsJosh King 19': 0.05 expected goalsMarcus Rashford 20': 0.08 expected goalsDiogo Dalot 23': 0.03 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 24': 0.61 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 25': 0.08 expected goalsJosh King 27': 0.10 expected goalsGonzalo García 28': 0.08 expected goalsSander Berge 28': 0.08 expected goalsOscar Bobb 29': 0.11 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 30': 0.02 expected goalsLuke Shaw 30': 0.02 expected goalsKobbie Mainoo 30': 0.06 expected goalsJosh King 31': 0.11 expected goalsBruno Fernandes 33': 0.04 expected goalsYouri Tielemans 33': 0.10 expected goalsMarcus Rashford 35': 0.03 expected goalsMarcus Rashford 38': 0.05 expected goalsAlex Iwobi 41': 0.32 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 43': 0.17 expected goalsMarcus Rashford 43': 0.34 expected goalsAlex Iwobi 60': 0.04 expected goalsCalvin Bassey 62': 0.05 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 66': 0.03 expected goalsHarry Maguire 67': 0.02 expected goalsDiogo Dalot 69': 0.03 expected goalsMarcus Rashford 71': 0.09 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 73': 0.03 expected goalsMarcus Rashford 74': 0.02 expected goalsKevin 75': 0.05 expected goalsBryan Mbeumo 77': 0.09 expected goalsLisandro Martínez 80': 0.03 expected goalsMatheus Cunha 88': 0.02 expected goals, GOALMason Mount 90': 0.05 expected goalsLisandro Martínez 92': 0.05 expected goalsPatrick Dorgu 93': 0.12 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.502.0001122334455667788MinuteFulham: 0Fulham, 3': Gonzalo García, 0.06 expected goalsFulham, 17': Gonzalo García, 0.35 expected goalsFulham, 19': Josh King, 0.05 expected goalsFulham, 27': Josh King, 0.10 expected goalsFulham, 28': Gonzalo García, 0.08 expected goalsFulham, 28': Sander Berge, 0.08 expected goalsFulham, 29': Oscar Bobb, 0.11 expected goalsFulham, 31': Josh King, 0.11 expected goalsFulham, 41': Alex Iwobi, 0.32 expected goalsFulham, 60': Alex Iwobi, 0.04 expected goalsFulham, 62': Calvin Bassey, 0.05 expected goalsFulham, 75': Kevin, 0.05 expected goalsFulham: 1.41Man Utd: 0Man Utd, 8': Bruno Fernandes, 0.13 expected goalsMan Utd, 9': Lisandro Martínez, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 9': Lisandro Martínez, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 10': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 20': Marcus Rashford, 0.08 expected goalsMan Utd, 23': Diogo Dalot, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 24': Bruno Fernandes, 0.61 expected goalsMan Utd, 25': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.08 expected goalsMan Utd, 30': Matheus Cunha, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 30': Luke Shaw, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 30': Kobbie Mainoo, 0.06 expected goalsMan Utd, 33': Bruno Fernandes, 0.04 expected goalsMan Utd, 33': Youri Tielemans, 0.10 expected goalsMan Utd, 35': Marcus Rashford, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 38': Marcus Rashford, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 43': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.17 expected goalsMan Utd, 43': Marcus Rashford, 0.34 expected goalsMan Utd, 66': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 67': Harry Maguire, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 69': Diogo Dalot, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 71': Marcus Rashford, 0.09 expected goalsMan Utd, 73': Matheus Cunha, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 74': Marcus Rashford, 0.02 expected goalsMan Utd, 77': Bryan Mbeumo, 0.09 expected goalsMan Utd, 80': Lisandro Martínez, 0.03 expected goalsMan Utd, 88': Matheus Cunha, 0.02 expected goals, GOALMan Utd, 90': Mason Mount, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 92': Lisandro Martínez, 0.05 expected goalsMan Utd, 93': Patrick Dorgu, 0.12 expected goalsMan Utd: 2.41FulhamMan UtdGOAL Matheus Cunha 88'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsFulhamMan Utd
In full1.412.41
Excluding penalties1.412.41
As the rating counts them1.231.84

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromFulhamMan Utd
Open play1.411.95
of which counter-attacks0.160.09
Set pieces0.000.46
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.000.40
Inside the box1.332.02
Shots1229
Expected goals a shot0.120.08

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
3:48FulhamGonzalo García Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot18
8:51Man UtdBruno Fernandes Blocked0.13RegularPlayhead8
9:34Man UtdLisandro Martínez Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot23
9:42Man UtdLisandro Martínez Saved0.03FromCornerfoot21
10:25Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Missed0.02FromCornerhead13
17:12FulhamGonzalo García Missed0.35RegularPlayfoot10
19:11FulhamJosh King Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot18
20:12Man UtdMarcus Rashford Missed0.08RegularPlayhead9
23:12Man UtdDiogo Dalot Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot22
24:30Man UtdBruno Fernandes Post0.61RegularPlayfoot8
25:07Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Blocked0.08RegularPlayfoot19
27:02FulhamJosh King Saved0.10RegularPlayfoot10
28:30FulhamGonzalo García Missed0.08RegularPlayfoot12
28:34FulhamSander Berge Saved0.08RegularPlayfoot19
29:11FulhamOscar Bobb Missed0.11RegularPlayfoot14
30:08Man UtdMatheus Cunha Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot27
30:50Man UtdLuke Shaw Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot24
30:51Man UtdKobbie Mainoo Blocked0.06FromCornerfoot16
31:09FulhamJosh King Saved0.11FastBreakfoot15
33:48Man UtdBruno Fernandes Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot22
33:51Man UtdYouri Tielemans Missed0.10RegularPlayfoot15
35:37Man UtdMarcus Rashford Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot24
38:58Man UtdMarcus Rashford Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot18
41:48FulhamAlex Iwobi Saved0.32RegularPlayfoot10
43:28Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Missed0.17RegularPlayfoot11
43:30Man UtdMarcus Rashford Missed0.34RegularPlayfoot8
60:35FulhamAlex Iwobi Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot18
62:18FulhamCalvin Bassey Saved0.05RegularPlayfoot17
66:30Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Saved0.03FromCornerfoot24
67:18Man UtdHarry Maguire Blocked0.02FromCornerhead12
69:19Man UtdDiogo Dalot Missed0.03SetPiecehead12
71:19Man UtdMarcus Rashford Saved0.09RegularPlayfoot14
73:35Man UtdMatheus Cunha Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot27
74:11Man UtdMarcus Rashford Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot28
75:23FulhamKevin Saved0.05FastBreakfoot23
77:18Man UtdBryan Mbeumo Blocked0.09FastBreakfoot20
80:55Man UtdLisandro Martínez Missed0.03FromCornerfoot18
88:35Man UtdMatheus Cunha Goal0.02RegularPlayfoot29
90:46Man UtdMason Mount Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot15
92:43Man UtdLisandro Martínez Blocked0.05FromCornerfoot15
93:05Man UtdPatrick Dorgu Missed0.12FromCornerhead6

Match statistics

FulhamMan Utd
Corners313
Shots1229
Shots on target66
Shots off target510
Total passes457606
Pass accuracy %87.589.9
Fouls committed95
Total yellow cards30

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.