Man City 1–0 Coventry

2026-09-05 15:00, Etihad Stadium. Half time 1–0. Erling Haaland 25'

2026-09-05 15:00
Man City
1–0
Coventry
1.7
expected goals
+0.7 to Man City
1.0

Man City created more, 1.7 to 1.0 expected goals, and won.

15Shots12
1.45Expected goals from open play0.58
0.26From set pieces0.44
1.71Excluding penalties1.03
1.49As the rating counts them0.84
1.9Points the chances deserved0.9

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Man City creates 1.83 and allows 1.00; Coventry creates 0.96 and allows 1.36.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Man City win 55 per cent, draw 25, Coventry win 21. Man City deserved 1.9 points and took 3; Coventry deserved 0.9 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Man City attack this way →← Coventry attack this wayTaiwo Awoniyi 7': 0.21 expected goalsBobby Thomas 9': 0.06 expected goalsErling Haaland 15': 0.17 expected goalsAntoine Semenyo 15': 0.02 expected goalsJosko Gvardiol 20': 0.02 expected goalsRayan Cherki 22': 0.10 expected goalsJack Rudoni 23': 0.13 expected goalsBobby Thomas 23': 0.06 expected goalsErling Haaland 25': 0.13 expected goals, GOALRayan Cherki 30': 0.05 expected goalsEnzo Fernández 34': 0.09 expected goalsEnzo Fernández 34': 0.09 expected goalsErling Haaland 43': 0.19 expected goalsIliman Ndiaye 47': 0.02 expected goalsElliot Anderson 51': 0.02 expected goalsRayan Cherki 55': 0.09 expected goalsBobby Thomas 63': 0.02 expected goalsEthan Pinnock 63': 0.08 expected goalsLoum Tchaouna 69': 0.18 expected goalsMatt Grimes 69': 0.03 expected goalsErling Haaland 72': 0.20 expected goalsPhil Foden 77': 0.47 expected goalsAntoine Semenyo 77': 0.06 expected goalsEllis Simms 79': 0.19 expected goalsBobby Thomas 81': 0.06 expected goalsLoum Tchaouna 88': 0.01 expected goalsBobby Thomas 92': 0.01 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001122334455667788MinuteMan City: 0Man City, 15': Erling Haaland, 0.17 expected goalsMan City, 15': Antoine Semenyo, 0.02 expected goalsMan City, 20': Josko Gvardiol, 0.02 expected goalsMan City, 22': Rayan Cherki, 0.10 expected goalsMan City, 25': Erling Haaland, 0.13 expected goals, GOALMan City, 30': Rayan Cherki, 0.05 expected goalsMan City, 34': Enzo Fernández, 0.09 expected goalsMan City, 34': Enzo Fernández, 0.09 expected goalsMan City, 43': Erling Haaland, 0.19 expected goalsMan City, 47': Iliman Ndiaye, 0.02 expected goalsMan City, 51': Elliot Anderson, 0.02 expected goalsMan City, 55': Rayan Cherki, 0.09 expected goalsMan City, 72': Erling Haaland, 0.20 expected goalsMan City, 77': Phil Foden, 0.47 expected goalsMan City, 77': Antoine Semenyo, 0.06 expected goalsMan City: 1.71Coventry: 0Coventry, 7': Taiwo Awoniyi, 0.21 expected goalsCoventry, 9': Bobby Thomas, 0.06 expected goalsCoventry, 23': Jack Rudoni, 0.13 expected goalsCoventry, 23': Bobby Thomas, 0.06 expected goalsCoventry, 63': Bobby Thomas, 0.02 expected goalsCoventry, 63': Ethan Pinnock, 0.08 expected goalsCoventry, 69': Loum Tchaouna, 0.18 expected goalsCoventry, 69': Matt Grimes, 0.03 expected goalsCoventry, 79': Ellis Simms, 0.19 expected goalsCoventry, 81': Bobby Thomas, 0.06 expected goalsCoventry, 88': Loum Tchaouna, 0.01 expected goalsCoventry, 92': Bobby Thomas, 0.01 expected goalsCoventry: 1.03Man CityCoventryGOAL Erling Haaland 25'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsMan CityCoventry
In full1.711.03
Excluding penalties1.711.03
As the rating counts them1.490.84

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromMan CityCoventry
Open play1.450.58
of which counter-attacks0.000.00
Set pieces0.260.44
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.170.32
Inside the box1.690.76
Shots1512
Expected goals a shot0.110.09

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
7:26CoventryTaiwo Awoniyi Missed0.21RegularPlayfoot18
9:59CoventryBobby Thomas Missed0.06FromCornerhead10
15:37Man CityErling Haaland Saved0.17SetPiecefoot16
15:40Man CityAntoine Semenyo Blocked0.02SetPiecefoot19
20:36Man CityJosko Gvardiol Blocked0.02SetPiecehead14
22:08Man CityRayan Cherki Post0.10RegularPlayfoot14
23:13CoventryJack Rudoni Saved0.13ThrowinSetPiecehead7
23:50CoventryBobby Thomas Blocked0.06FromCornerhead7
25:01Man CityErling Haaland Goal0.13RegularPlayhead7
30:03Man CityRayan Cherki Blocked0.05FromCornerfoot20
34:45Man CityEnzo Fernández Blocked0.09RegularPlayfoot14
34:46Man CityEnzo Fernández Blocked0.09RegularPlayfoot15
43:22Man CityErling Haaland Saved0.19RegularPlayfoot12
47:22Man CityIliman Ndiaye Missed0.02RegularPlayhead13
51:17Man CityElliot Anderson Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot28
55:18Man CityRayan Cherki Blocked0.09RegularPlayfoot16
63:50CoventryBobby Thomas Missed0.02SetPiecehead14
63:51CoventryEthan Pinnock Missed0.08SetPiecefoot15
69:14CoventryLoum Tchaouna Saved0.18RegularPlayfoot19
69:55CoventryMatt Grimes Missed0.03ThrowinSetPiecefoot23
72:08Man CityErling Haaland Missed0.20RegularPlayfoot8
77:53Man CityPhil Foden Saved0.47RegularPlayfoot5
77:57Man CityAntoine Semenyo Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot19
79:05CoventryEllis Simms Saved0.19RegularPlayfoot7
81:07CoventryBobby Thomas Missed0.06FromCornerhead9
88:56CoventryLoum Tchaouna Blocked0.01RegularPlayfoot33
92:21CoventryBobby Thomas Blocked0.01SetPiecefoot27

Match statistics

Man CityCoventry
Corners45
Shots1512
Shots on target43
Shots off target56
Total passes819220
Pass accuracy %91.763.6
Fouls committed717
Total yellow cards12

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.