Bournemouth 2–2 Brentford

2026-09-12 15:00, Vitality Stadium. Half time 1–1. Justin Kluivert 37', Marcus Tavernier 51'; Kevin Schade 33', Kevin Schade 55'

2026-09-12 15:00
Bournemouth
2–2
Brentford
1.8
expected goals
+1.2 to Bournemouth
0.6

Bournemouth created more, 1.8 to 0.6 expected goals, and drew.

20Shots8
1.27Expected goals from open play0.42
0.49From set pieces0.15
1.76Excluding penalties0.57
1.65As the rating counts them0.55
2.3Points the chances deserved0.5

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Bournemouth creates 1.27 and allows 1.25; Brentford creates 1.28 and allows 1.24.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Bournemouth win 68 per cent, draw 22, Brentford win 10. Bournemouth deserved 2.3 points and took 1; Brentford deserved 0.5 and took 1.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Bournemouth attack this way →← Brentford attack this wayIgor Thiago 1': 0.17 expected goalsKeane Lewis-Potter 2': 0.04 expected goalsAntónio Silva 6': 0.14 expected goalsRayan 26': 0.03 expected goalsKevin Schade 33': 0.11 expected goals, GOALJustin Kluivert 36': 0.06 expected goalsRayan 36': 0.26 expected goalsJustin Kluivert 37': 0.08 expected goals, GOALMarcus Tavernier 46': 0.10 expected goalsJustin Kluivert 47': 0.04 expected goalsAntónio Silva 48': 0.31 expected goalsAlex Scott 50': 0.20 expected goalsKristoffer Ajer 51': 0.04 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 51': 0.07 expected goals, GOALAaron Hickey 54': 0.07 expected goalsKevin Schade 55': 0.04 expected goals, GOALMarcus Tavernier 65': 0.09 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 67': 0.05 expected goalsTyler Adams 72': 0.02 expected goalsRayan 74': 0.03 expected goalsRayan 75': 0.07 expected goalsRayan 77': 0.07 expected goalsAdrien Truffert 79': 0.03 expected goalsBen Gannon-Doak 83': 0.03 expected goalsMikkel Damsgaard 88': 0.09 expected goalsAdrien Truffert 92': 0.04 expected goalsBen Gannon-Doak 93': 0.06 expected goalsDango Ouattara 95': 0.02 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001122334455667788MinuteBournemouth: 0Bournemouth, 6': António Silva, 0.14 expected goalsBournemouth, 26': Rayan, 0.03 expected goalsBournemouth, 36': Justin Kluivert, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth, 36': Rayan, 0.26 expected goalsBournemouth, 37': Justin Kluivert, 0.08 expected goals, GOALBournemouth, 46': Marcus Tavernier, 0.10 expected goalsBournemouth, 47': Justin Kluivert, 0.04 expected goalsBournemouth, 48': António Silva, 0.31 expected goalsBournemouth, 50': Alex Scott, 0.20 expected goalsBournemouth, 51': Marcus Tavernier, 0.07 expected goals, GOALBournemouth, 65': Marcus Tavernier, 0.09 expected goalsBournemouth, 67': Marcus Tavernier, 0.05 expected goalsBournemouth, 72': Tyler Adams, 0.02 expected goalsBournemouth, 74': Rayan, 0.03 expected goalsBournemouth, 75': Rayan, 0.07 expected goalsBournemouth, 77': Rayan, 0.07 expected goalsBournemouth, 79': Adrien Truffert, 0.03 expected goalsBournemouth, 83': Ben Gannon-Doak, 0.03 expected goalsBournemouth, 92': Adrien Truffert, 0.04 expected goalsBournemouth, 93': Ben Gannon-Doak, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth: 1.76Brentford: 0Brentford, 1': Igor Thiago, 0.17 expected goalsBrentford, 2': Keane Lewis-Potter, 0.04 expected goalsBrentford, 33': Kevin Schade, 0.11 expected goals, GOALBrentford, 51': Kristoffer Ajer, 0.04 expected goalsBrentford, 54': Aaron Hickey, 0.07 expected goalsBrentford, 55': Kevin Schade, 0.04 expected goals, GOALBrentford, 88': Mikkel Damsgaard, 0.09 expected goalsBrentford, 95': Dango Ouattara, 0.02 expected goalsBrentford: 0.57BournemouthBrentfordGOAL Kevin Schade 33'GOAL Justin Kluivert 37'GOAL Marcus Tavernier 51'GOAL Kevin Schade 55'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsBournemouthBrentford
In full1.760.57
Excluding penalties1.760.57
As the rating counts them1.650.55

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromBournemouthBrentford
Open play1.270.42
of which counter-attacks0.060.17
Set pieces0.490.15
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.450.37
Inside the box1.270.52
Shots208
Expected goals a shot0.090.07

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
1:26BrentfordIgor Thiago Missed0.17FastBreakhead9
2:19BrentfordKeane Lewis-Potter Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot21
6:27BournemouthAntónio Silva Missed0.14SetPiecehead7
26:58BournemouthRayan Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot24
33:57BrentfordKevin Schade Goal0.11RegularPlayhead9
36:45BournemouthJustin Kluivert Saved0.06RegularPlayfoot18
36:47BournemouthRayan Missed0.26RegularPlayfoot8
37:52BournemouthJustin Kluivert Goal0.08RegularPlayfoot14
46:54BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Missed0.10RegularPlayfoot13
47:57BournemouthJustin Kluivert Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot22
48:44BournemouthAntónio Silva Missed0.31FromCornerhead4
50:09BournemouthAlex Scott Missed0.20RegularPlayfoot15
51:07BrentfordKristoffer Ajer Missed0.04SetPiecefoot17
51:57BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Goal0.07RegularPlayfoot16
54:15BrentfordAaron Hickey Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot14
55:06BrentfordKevin Schade Goal0.04RegularPlayfoot33
65:53BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Saved0.09RegularPlayfoot25
67:23BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Saved0.05DirectFreekickfoot27
72:52BournemouthTyler Adams Saved0.02RegularPlayfoot27
74:08BournemouthRayan Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot16
75:40BournemouthRayan Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot18
77:39BournemouthRayan Saved0.07RegularPlayfoot18
79:10BournemouthAdrien Truffert Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot23
83:23BournemouthBen Gannon-Doak Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot21
88:04BrentfordMikkel Damsgaard Missed0.09ThrowinSetPiecehead8
92:39BournemouthAdrien Truffert Saved0.04RegularPlayfoot20
93:13BournemouthBen Gannon-Doak Blocked0.06FastBreakfoot22
95:07BrentfordDango Ouattara Blocked0.02ThrowinSetPiecefoot24

Match statistics

BournemouthBrentford
Corners21
Shots208
Shots on target102
Shots off target85
Total passes497375
Pass accuracy %82.170.1
Fouls committed1013
Total yellow cards51

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.