Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland

2026-10-18 15:00, Vitality Stadium. Half time 1–0. Marcus Tavernier 5', Evanilson 47'

2026-10-18 15:00
Bournemouth
2–0
Sunderland
2.9
expected goals
+2.8 to Bournemouth
0.1

Bournemouth created more, 2.9 to 0.1 expected goals, and won.

29Shots3
2.66Expected goals from open play0.02
0.27From set pieces0.06
2.93Excluding penalties0.08
2.71As the rating counts them0.08
2.9Points the chances deserved0.1

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Bournemouth creates 1.25 and allows 1.27; Sunderland creates 0.95 and allows 1.32.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Bournemouth win 95 per cent, draw 5, Sunderland win 0. Bournemouth deserved 2.9 points and took 3; Sunderland deserved 0.1 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Bournemouth attack this way →← Sunderland attack this wayTyler Adams 1': 0.05 expected goalsEvanilson 1': 0.11 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 5': 0.11 expected goals, GOALKevin Danso 9': 0.02 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 19': 0.06 expected goalsJames Hill 21': 0.01 expected goalsJames Hill 21': 0.03 expected goalsRayan 31': 0.06 expected goalsAdam Smith 31': 0.29 expected goalsEvanilson 32': 0.11 expected goalsRayan 36': 0.11 expected goalsRayan 42': 0.13 expected goalsRayan 45': 0.01 expected goalsRayan 45': 0.03 expected goalsEvanilson 45': 0.07 expected goalsEvanilson 47': 0.12 expected goals, GOALEvanilson 51': 0.15 expected goalsRyan Christie 51': 0.07 expected goalsLewis Cook 52': 0.04 expected goalsRyan Christie 56': 0.11 expected goalsRayan 60': 0.13 expected goalsMarcus Tavernier 60': 0.25 expected goalsRyan Christie 61': 0.01 expected goalsEvanilson 68': 0.16 expected goalsAdrien Truffert 71': 0.02 expected goalsEnzo Le Fée 72': 0.02 expected goalsTrai Hume 79': 0.03 expected goalsAmine Adli 81': 0.11 expected goalsRayan 85': 0.03 expected goalsJustin Kluivert 89': 0.22 expected goalsJustin Kluivert 90': 0.06 expected goalsJustin Kluivert 91': 0.23 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.001.002.0001122334455667788MinuteBournemouth: 0Bournemouth, 1': Tyler Adams, 0.05 expected goalsBournemouth, 1': Evanilson, 0.11 expected goalsBournemouth, 5': Marcus Tavernier, 0.11 expected goals, GOALBournemouth, 19': Marcus Tavernier, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth, 21': James Hill, 0.01 expected goalsBournemouth, 21': James Hill, 0.03 expected goalsBournemouth, 31': Rayan, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth, 31': Adam Smith, 0.29 expected goalsBournemouth, 32': Evanilson, 0.11 expected goalsBournemouth, 36': Rayan, 0.11 expected goalsBournemouth, 42': Rayan, 0.13 expected goalsBournemouth, 45': Rayan, 0.01 expected goalsBournemouth, 45': Rayan, 0.03 expected goalsBournemouth, 45': Evanilson, 0.07 expected goalsBournemouth, 47': Evanilson, 0.12 expected goals, GOALBournemouth, 51': Evanilson, 0.15 expected goalsBournemouth, 51': Ryan Christie, 0.07 expected goalsBournemouth, 52': Lewis Cook, 0.04 expected goalsBournemouth, 56': Ryan Christie, 0.11 expected goalsBournemouth, 60': Rayan, 0.13 expected goalsBournemouth, 60': Marcus Tavernier, 0.25 expected goalsBournemouth, 61': Ryan Christie, 0.01 expected goalsBournemouth, 68': Evanilson, 0.16 expected goalsBournemouth, 71': Adrien Truffert, 0.02 expected goalsBournemouth, 81': Amine Adli, 0.11 expected goalsBournemouth, 85': Rayan, 0.03 expected goalsBournemouth, 89': Justin Kluivert, 0.22 expected goalsBournemouth, 90': Justin Kluivert, 0.06 expected goalsBournemouth, 91': Justin Kluivert, 0.23 expected goalsBournemouth: 2.93Sunderland: 0Sunderland, 9': Kevin Danso, 0.02 expected goalsSunderland, 72': Enzo Le Fée, 0.02 expected goalsSunderland, 79': Trai Hume, 0.03 expected goalsSunderland: 0.08BournemouthSunderlandGOAL Marcus Tavernier 5'GOAL Evanilson 47'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsBournemouthSunderland
In full2.930.08
Excluding penalties2.930.08
As the rating counts them2.710.08

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromBournemouthSunderland
Open play2.660.02
of which counter-attacks0.380.00
Set pieces0.270.06
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.390.02
Inside the box2.530.06
Shots293
Expected goals a shot0.100.03

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
1:10BournemouthTyler Adams Missed0.05ThrowinSetPiecefoot16
1:27BournemouthEvanilson Blocked0.11RegularPlayfoot24
5:01BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Goal0.11RegularPlayhead8
9:36SunderlandKevin Danso Missed0.02SetPiecehead13
19:09BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Missed0.06DirectFreekickfoot23
21:32BournemouthJames Hill Missed0.01RegularPlayfoot30
21:52BournemouthJames Hill Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot23
31:16BournemouthRayan Saved0.06RegularPlayfoot19
31:18BournemouthAdam Smith Missed0.29RegularPlayfoot7
32:28BournemouthEvanilson Blocked0.11RegularPlayfoot13
36:26BournemouthRayan Saved0.11FromCornerhead6
42:19BournemouthRayan Missed0.13RegularPlayfoot10
45:04BournemouthRayan Saved0.01FromCornerfoot28
45:36BournemouthRayan Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot18
45:39BournemouthEvanilson Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot28
47:45BournemouthEvanilson Goal0.12RegularPlayfoot13
51:12BournemouthEvanilson Missed0.15RegularPlayhead7
51:20BournemouthRyan Christie Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot13
52:08BournemouthLewis Cook Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot18
56:46BournemouthRyan Christie Blocked0.11RegularPlayfoot14
60:47BournemouthRayan Blocked0.13FastBreakfoot16
60:51BournemouthMarcus Tavernier Saved0.25FastBreakfoot11
61:30BournemouthRyan Christie Missed0.01FromCornerhead13
68:31BournemouthEvanilson Missed0.16RegularPlayfoot10
71:47BournemouthAdrien Truffert Missed0.02SetPiecefoot26
72:31SunderlandEnzo Le Fée Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot29
79:08SunderlandTrai Hume Missed0.03SetPiecefoot18
81:08BournemouthAmine Adli Missed0.11RegularPlayfoot9
85:38BournemouthRayan Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot23
89:17BournemouthJustin Kluivert Blocked0.22RegularPlayfoot9
90:30BournemouthJustin Kluivert Missed0.06RegularPlayfoot13
91:16BournemouthJustin Kluivert Missed0.23RegularPlayfoot15

Match statistics

BournemouthSunderland
Corners53
Shots293
Shots on target60
Shots off target153
Total passes566302
Pass accuracy %83.662.6
Fouls committed167
Total yellow cards32

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.