Brentford 1–2 Liverpool

2026-10-17 15:00, Gtech Community Stadium. Half time 1–0. Keane Lewis-Potter 43'; Víctor Muñoz 61', Alexander Isak 69'

2026-10-17 15:00
Brentford
1–2
Liverpool
1.0
expected goals
-0.8 to Brentford
1.8

Liverpool created more, 1.8 to 1.0 expected goals, and won.

10Shots21
0.70Expected goals from open play1.46
0.32From set pieces0.31
1.01Excluding penalties1.77
1.00As the rating counts them1.40
0.8Points the chances deserved1.9

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Brentford creates 1.29 and allows 1.25; Liverpool creates 1.54 and allows 1.14.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Brentford win 20 per cent, draw 24, Liverpool win 56. Brentford deserved 0.8 points and took 0; Liverpool deserved 1.9 and took 3.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Brentford attack this way →← Liverpool attack this wayJaidon Anthony 6': 0.03 expected goalsDominik Szoboszlai 7': 0.07 expected goalsAlexis Mac Allister 14': 0.03 expected goalsMichael Kayode 18': 0.03 expected goalsBradley Barcola 19': 0.35 expected goalsAlexander Isak 22': 0.12 expected goalsIgor Thiago 27': 0.23 expected goalsIgor Thiago 32': 0.19 expected goalsBradley Barcola 36': 0.05 expected goalsJaidon Anthony 43': 0.06 expected goalsKeane Lewis-Potter 43': 0.07 expected goals, GOALJérémy Jacquet 45': 0.02 expected goalsFlorian Wirtz 48': 0.03 expected goalsAlexis Mac Allister 48': 0.07 expected goalsJaidon Anthony 52': 0.06 expected goalsTrey Nyoni 52': 0.02 expected goalsTrey Nyoni 55': 0.05 expected goalsJaidon Anthony 57': 0.06 expected goalsAlexis Mac Allister 58': 0.03 expected goalsVirgil van Dijk 58': 0.04 expected goalsVíctor Muñoz 61': 0.13 expected goals, GOALVíctor Muñoz 64': 0.05 expected goalsBradley Barcola 65': 0.13 expected goalsRio Ngumoha 68': 0.03 expected goalsAlexander Isak 69': 0.39 expected goals, GOALVíctor Muñoz 71': 0.03 expected goalsIgor Thiago 72': 0.26 expected goalsKeane Lewis-Potter 76': 0.02 expected goalsBradley Barcola 78': 0.02 expected goalsAlexis Mac Allister 92': 0.07 expected goalsLewis Koumas 93': 0.05 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.001.5001122334455667788MinuteBrentford: 0Brentford, 6': Jaidon Anthony, 0.03 expected goalsBrentford, 18': Michael Kayode, 0.03 expected goalsBrentford, 27': Igor Thiago, 0.23 expected goalsBrentford, 32': Igor Thiago, 0.19 expected goalsBrentford, 43': Jaidon Anthony, 0.06 expected goalsBrentford, 43': Keane Lewis-Potter, 0.07 expected goals, GOALBrentford, 52': Jaidon Anthony, 0.06 expected goalsBrentford, 57': Jaidon Anthony, 0.06 expected goalsBrentford, 72': Igor Thiago, 0.26 expected goalsBrentford, 76': Keane Lewis-Potter, 0.02 expected goalsBrentford: 1.01Liverpool: 0Liverpool, 7': Dominik Szoboszlai, 0.07 expected goalsLiverpool, 14': Alexis Mac Allister, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 19': Bradley Barcola, 0.35 expected goalsLiverpool, 22': Alexander Isak, 0.12 expected goalsLiverpool, 36': Bradley Barcola, 0.05 expected goalsLiverpool, 45': Jérémy Jacquet, 0.02 expected goalsLiverpool, 48': Florian Wirtz, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 48': Alexis Mac Allister, 0.07 expected goalsLiverpool, 52': Trey Nyoni, 0.02 expected goalsLiverpool, 55': Trey Nyoni, 0.05 expected goalsLiverpool, 58': Alexis Mac Allister, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 58': Virgil van Dijk, 0.04 expected goalsLiverpool, 61': Víctor Muñoz, 0.13 expected goals, GOALLiverpool, 64': Víctor Muñoz, 0.05 expected goalsLiverpool, 65': Bradley Barcola, 0.13 expected goalsLiverpool, 68': Rio Ngumoha, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 69': Alexander Isak, 0.39 expected goals, GOALLiverpool, 71': Víctor Muñoz, 0.03 expected goalsLiverpool, 78': Bradley Barcola, 0.02 expected goalsLiverpool, 92': Alexis Mac Allister, 0.07 expected goalsLiverpool, 93': Lewis Koumas, 0.05 expected goalsLiverpool: 1.77BrentfordLiverpoolGOAL Keane Lewis-Potter 43'GOAL Víctor Muñoz 61'GOAL Alexander Isak 69'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsBrentfordLiverpool
In full1.011.77
Excluding penalties1.011.77
As the rating counts them1.001.40

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromBrentfordLiverpool
Open play0.701.46
of which counter-attacks0.230.53
Set pieces0.320.31
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.280.12
Inside the box0.990.98
Shots1021
Expected goals a shot0.100.08

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
6:51BrentfordJaidon Anthony Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot25
7:21LiverpoolDominik Szoboszlai Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot18
14:48LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister Missed0.03FromCornerfoot26
18:49BrentfordMichael Kayode Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot21
19:40LiverpoolBradley Barcola Missed0.35FastBreakfoot19
22:04LiverpoolAlexander Isak Missed0.12RegularPlayhead8
27:50BrentfordIgor Thiago Blocked0.23FastBreakfoot11
32:19BrentfordIgor Thiago Missed0.19SetPiecehead6
36:09LiverpoolBradley Barcola Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot20
43:35BrentfordJaidon Anthony Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot19
43:45BrentfordKeane Lewis-Potter Goal0.07RegularPlayhead10
45:59LiverpoolJérémy Jacquet Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot25
48:23LiverpoolFlorian Wirtz Blocked0.03FromCornerfoot18
48:23LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister Blocked0.07RegularPlayfoot21
52:02BrentfordJaidon Anthony Saved0.06ThrowinSetPiecefoot14
52:56LiverpoolTrey Nyoni Blocked0.02FromCornerfoot27
55:22LiverpoolTrey Nyoni Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot19
57:49BrentfordJaidon Anthony Missed0.06ThrowinSetPiecefoot14
58:30LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot28
58:49LiverpoolVirgil van Dijk Missed0.04FromCornerfoot14
61:12LiverpoolVíctor Muñoz Goal0.13FastBreakfoot17
64:02LiverpoolVíctor Muñoz Missed0.05FromCornerfoot13
65:10LiverpoolBradley Barcola Missed0.13RegularPlayfoot13
68:38LiverpoolRio Ngumoha Blocked0.03FromCornerfoot21
69:11LiverpoolAlexander Isak Goal0.39RegularPlayfoot7
71:54LiverpoolVíctor Muñoz Saved0.03SetPiecefoot23
72:21BrentfordIgor Thiago Missed0.26RegularPlayfoot8
76:23BrentfordKeane Lewis-Potter Missed0.02RegularPlayhead14
78:01LiverpoolBradley Barcola Post0.02FromCornerfoot19
92:28LiverpoolAlexis Mac Allister Missed0.07DirectFreekickfoot23
93:44LiverpoolLewis Koumas Saved0.05FastBreakfoot24

Match statistics

BrentfordLiverpool
Corners39
Shots1021
Shots on target25
Shots off target412
Total passes329499
Pass accuracy %74.282.8
Fouls committed713
Total yellow cards33

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.