Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa

2026-08-23 14:00, American Express Stadium. Half time 4–0. Victor Lindelöf 7' (own goal), Maxim De Cuyper 17', Jack Hinshelwood 29', Jack Hinshelwood 30'

2026-08-23 14:00
Brighton
4–0
Aston Villa
3.1
expected goals
+2.7 to Brighton
0.4

Brighton created more, 3.1 to 0.4 expected goals, and won.

21Shots6
2.89Expected goals from open play0.27
0.16From set pieces0.10
3.05Excluding penalties0.37
1.78As the rating counts them0.30
2.9Points the chances deserved0.1

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Brighton creates 1.26 and allows 1.18; Aston Villa creates 1.25 and allows 1.22.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Brighton win 94 per cent, draw 5, Aston Villa win 1. Brighton deserved 2.9 points and took 3; Aston Villa deserved 0.1 and took 0.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Brighton attack this way →← Aston Villa attack this wayEmiliano Buendía 3': 0.02 expected goalsEmiliano Buendía 4': 0.14 expected goalsEmiliano Buendía 6': 0.05 expected goalsMaxim De Cuyper 7': 0.14 expected goalsJohn McGinn 16': 0.04 expected goalsMaxim De Cuyper 17': 0.80 expected goals, GOALGeorginio Rutter 23': 0.07 expected goalsJack Hinshelwood 29': 0.59 expected goals, GOALJack Hinshelwood 30': 0.40 expected goals, GOALYasin Ayari 41': 0.04 expected goalsMats Wieffer 41': 0.07 expected goalsMaxim De Cuyper 42': 0.07 expected goalsMaxim De Cuyper 43': 0.08 expected goalsDiego Gómez 44': 0.14 expected goalsLuka Vuskovic 48': 0.02 expected goalsYasin Ayari 50': 0.07 expected goalsIan Maatsen 51': 0.03 expected goalsLuka Vuskovic 53': 0.05 expected goalsDiego Gómez 56': 0.09 expected goalsJack Hinshelwood 57': 0.14 expected goalsGeorginio Rutter 60': 0.04 expected goalsCostinha 64': 0.06 expected goalsRoss Barkley 67': 0.08 expected goalsDiego Gómez 70': 0.02 expected goalsCharalampos Kostoulas 76': 0.07 expected goalsCostinha 89': 0.02 expected goalsCharalampos Kostoulas 93': 0.06 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.001.002.003.0001122334455667788MinuteBrighton: 0Brighton, 7': Maxim De Cuyper, 0.14 expected goalsBrighton, 17': Maxim De Cuyper, 0.80 expected goals, GOALBrighton, 23': Georginio Rutter, 0.07 expected goalsBrighton, 29': Jack Hinshelwood, 0.59 expected goals, GOALBrighton, 30': Jack Hinshelwood, 0.40 expected goals, GOALBrighton, 41': Yasin Ayari, 0.04 expected goalsBrighton, 41': Mats Wieffer, 0.07 expected goalsBrighton, 42': Maxim De Cuyper, 0.07 expected goalsBrighton, 43': Maxim De Cuyper, 0.08 expected goalsBrighton, 44': Diego Gómez, 0.14 expected goalsBrighton, 48': Luka Vuskovic, 0.02 expected goalsBrighton, 50': Yasin Ayari, 0.07 expected goalsBrighton, 53': Luka Vuskovic, 0.05 expected goalsBrighton, 56': Diego Gómez, 0.09 expected goalsBrighton, 57': Jack Hinshelwood, 0.14 expected goalsBrighton, 60': Georginio Rutter, 0.04 expected goalsBrighton, 64': Costinha, 0.06 expected goalsBrighton, 70': Diego Gómez, 0.02 expected goalsBrighton, 76': Charalampos Kostoulas, 0.07 expected goalsBrighton, 89': Costinha, 0.02 expected goalsBrighton, 93': Charalampos Kostoulas, 0.06 expected goalsBrighton: 3.05Aston Villa: 0Aston Villa, 3': Emiliano Buendía, 0.02 expected goalsAston Villa, 4': Emiliano Buendía, 0.14 expected goalsAston Villa, 6': Emiliano Buendía, 0.05 expected goalsAston Villa, 16': John McGinn, 0.04 expected goalsAston Villa, 51': Ian Maatsen, 0.03 expected goalsAston Villa, 67': Ross Barkley, 0.08 expected goalsAston Villa: 0.37BrightonAston VillaGOAL Maxim De Cuyper 17'GOAL Jack Hinshelwood 29'GOAL Jack Hinshelwood 30'

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsBrightonAston Villa
In full3.050.37
Excluding penalties3.050.37
As the rating counts them1.780.30

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromBrightonAston Villa
Open play2.890.27
of which counter-attacks0.000.00
Set pieces0.160.10
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.670.08
Inside the box2.760.13
Shots216
Expected goals a shot0.150.06

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
3:47Aston VillaEmiliano Buendía Missed0.02SetPiecefoot22
4:20Aston VillaEmiliano Buendía Missed0.14RegularPlayfoot21
6:02Aston VillaEmiliano Buendía Missed0.05RegularPlayfoot17
7:33BrightonMaxim De Cuyper Post0.14RegularPlayfoot17
16:42Aston VillaJohn McGinn Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot22
17:22BrightonMaxim De Cuyper Goal0.80RegularPlayfoot2
23:03BrightonGeorginio Rutter Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot27
29:11BrightonJack Hinshelwood Goal0.59RegularPlayhead3
30:30BrightonJack Hinshelwood Goal0.40RegularPlayfoot12
41:16BrightonYasin Ayari Blocked0.04RegularPlayfoot20
41:30BrightonMats Wieffer Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot18
42:41BrightonMaxim De Cuyper Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot18
43:22BrightonMaxim De Cuyper Blocked0.08RegularPlayfoot15
44:20BrightonDiego Gómez Saved0.14RegularPlayfoot13
48:03BrightonLuka Vuskovic Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot29
50:30BrightonYasin Ayari Missed0.07FromCornerfoot13
51:31Aston VillaIan Maatsen Missed0.03RegularPlayfoot24
53:36BrightonLuka Vuskovic Missed0.05FromCornerfoot8
56:27BrightonDiego Gómez Saved0.09RegularPlayfoot13
57:25BrightonJack Hinshelwood Blocked0.14RegularPlayfoot12
60:47BrightonGeorginio Rutter Missed0.04FromCornerfoot14
64:45BrightonCostinha Post0.06RegularPlayfoot19
67:54Aston VillaRoss Barkley Missed0.08FromCornerhead7
70:17BrightonDiego Gómez Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot26
76:40BrightonCharalampos Kostoulas Missed0.07RegularPlayfoot15
89:23BrightonCostinha Saved0.02RegularPlayhead12
93:33BrightonCharalampos Kostoulas Missed0.06RegularPlayhead10

Match statistics

BrightonAston Villa
Corners52
Shots216
Shots on target60
Shots off target126
Total passes647242
Pass accuracy %92.976.4
Fouls committed1211
Total yellow cards23

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.