Aston Villa

Aston Villa's chances have been 0.37 goals a match worse than its opponents' this season, 16th in the league; results have put it 16th in the table.

-0.37
expected-goals difference a match, 16th in the league
5
points from 6 matches, 16th in the table
7.2
points the chances deserved
1.22 / 1.24
rating now: creates / allows, expected goals a match as the rating counts them

Aston Villa has 5 points from chances that deserved 7.2: 2.2 behind its performance. The rating, which remembers past seasons, puts it at -0.03 expected goals a match as the rating counts them, against an average opponent; it is -0.37 from this season's chances in full.

About this season

Performance match by match

-2.7-1.30+1.3+2.7Match 1, at Brighton: -2.68 expected goalsMatch 2, v Arsenal: -0.93 expected goalsMatch 3, at Hull: +1.07 expected goalsMatch 4, v Nottingham Forest: -1.23 expected goalsMatch 5, at Tottenham: +1.00 expected goalsMatch 6, v Brentford: +0.56 expected goalsMatch of the season; above the line the team created more than it allowed

Points and the points the chances deserved

02460123456Match of the seasonAfter match 1: 0 pointsAfter match 2: 0 pointsAfter match 3: 1 pointsAfter match 4: 1 pointsAfter match 5: 4 pointsAfter match 6: 5 pointsAfter match 1: the chances deserved 0.1After match 2: the chances deserved 0.5After match 3: the chances deserved 2.8After match 4: the chances deserved 3.4After match 5: the chances deserved 5.5After match 6: the chances deserved 7.2PointsPoints the chances deserved

The rating through the season

Before each match: the expected goals a match as the rating counts them that the rating says the team creates and allows against an average opponent. It remembers past seasons with the recent matches counting most, and leans on what the squad is worth while the record is short.

0.000.501.000123456Match of the seasonBefore match 1: creates 1.25 a matchBefore match 2: creates 1.23 a matchBefore match 3: creates 1.21 a matchBefore match 4: creates 1.20 a matchBefore match 5: creates 1.19 a matchBefore match 6: creates 1.21 a matchBefore match 1: allows 1.22 a matchBefore match 2: allows 1.25 a matchBefore match 3: allows 1.24 a matchBefore match 4: allows 1.22 a matchBefore match 5: allows 1.23 a matchBefore match 6: allows 1.24 a matchAttack: expected goals created a matchDefence: allowed a match

How Aston Villa creates and concedes

Share of expected goalscreatedleagueallowedleague
Open play93%73% 87%73%
of which counter-attacks3%10% 10%10%
Set pieces7%22% 13%22%
Penalties0%5% 0%5%
Headers9%16% 17%16%
Inside the box86%82% 85%82%
Expected goals a shot0.110.110.100.11

Matches

DateOpponentResultxG forxG againstDiffPtsDeserved
2026-08-23at Brighton 0–4 0.373.05-2.6800.1
2026-08-31v Arsenal 0–1 0.321.25-0.9300.4
2026-09-05at Hull 0–0 1.470.40+1.0712.3
2026-09-12v Nottingham Forest 1–2 1.112.34-1.2300.6
2026-09-19at Tottenham 3–2 2.371.37+1.0032.1
2026-10-10v Brentford 2–2 1.931.38+0.5611.8

Expected goals here leave penalties out, as the rating does; the match pages count them. The squad the rating reads is worth about 572 million euros at its latest match.