Hull 0–0 Aston Villa

2026-09-05 17:30, MKM Stadium. Half time 0–0.

2026-09-05 17:30
Hull
0–0
Aston Villa
0.4
expected goals
-1.1 to Hull
1.5

Aston Villa created more, 1.5 to 0.4 expected goals, and drew.

11Shots13
0.35Expected goals from open play1.17
0.05From set pieces0.30
0.40Excluding penalties1.47
0.40As the rating counts them1.23
0.5Points the chances deserved2.3

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Hull creates 0.78 and allows 1.68; Aston Villa creates 1.21 and allows 1.24.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Hull win 8 per cent, draw 24, Aston Villa win 68. Hull deserved 0.5 points and took 1; Aston Villa deserved 2.3 and took 1.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Hull attack this way →← Aston Villa attack this wayNicolas Jackson 1': 0.31 expected goalsNobel Mendy 6': 0.00 expected goalsGeorge Hemmings 12': 0.06 expected goalsRoss Barkley 12': 0.06 expected goalsNicolas Jackson 13': 0.03 expected goalsNobel Mendy 18': 0.01 expected goalsRoss Barkley 24': 0.10 expected goalsTyrone Mings 26': 0.02 expected goalsRegan Slater 33': 0.02 expected goalsMohamed Belloumi 36': 0.03 expected goalsRegan Slater 37': 0.03 expected goalsEmiliano Buendía 39': 0.05 expected goalsRoss Barkley 46': 0.02 expected goalsOliver McBurnie 48': 0.05 expected goalsJohn McGinn 49': 0.43 expected goalsElliot Stroud 50': 0.04 expected goalsEmiliano Buendía 52': 0.17 expected goalsMohamed Belloumi 64': 0.02 expected goalsOliver McBurnie 71': 0.04 expected goalsTyrone Mings 75': 0.05 expected goalsRoss Barkley 80': 0.04 expected goalsTyrone Mings 80': 0.13 expected goalsMohamed-Ali Cho 88': 0.08 expected goalsOliver McBurnie 89': 0.09 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.501.0001122334455667788MinuteHull: 0Hull, 6': Nobel Mendy, 0.00 expected goalsHull, 18': Nobel Mendy, 0.01 expected goalsHull, 33': Regan Slater, 0.02 expected goalsHull, 36': Mohamed Belloumi, 0.03 expected goalsHull, 37': Regan Slater, 0.03 expected goalsHull, 48': Oliver McBurnie, 0.05 expected goalsHull, 50': Elliot Stroud, 0.04 expected goalsHull, 64': Mohamed Belloumi, 0.02 expected goalsHull, 71': Oliver McBurnie, 0.04 expected goalsHull, 88': Mohamed-Ali Cho, 0.08 expected goalsHull, 89': Oliver McBurnie, 0.09 expected goalsHull: 0.40Aston Villa: 0Aston Villa, 1': Nicolas Jackson, 0.31 expected goalsAston Villa, 12': George Hemmings, 0.06 expected goalsAston Villa, 12': Ross Barkley, 0.06 expected goalsAston Villa, 13': Nicolas Jackson, 0.03 expected goalsAston Villa, 24': Ross Barkley, 0.10 expected goalsAston Villa, 26': Tyrone Mings, 0.02 expected goalsAston Villa, 39': Emiliano Buendía, 0.05 expected goalsAston Villa, 46': Ross Barkley, 0.02 expected goalsAston Villa, 49': John McGinn, 0.43 expected goalsAston Villa, 52': Emiliano Buendía, 0.17 expected goalsAston Villa, 75': Tyrone Mings, 0.05 expected goalsAston Villa, 80': Ross Barkley, 0.04 expected goalsAston Villa, 80': Tyrone Mings, 0.13 expected goalsAston Villa: 1.47HullAston Villa

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsHullAston Villa
In full0.401.47
Excluding penalties0.401.47
As the rating counts them0.401.23

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromHullAston Villa
Open play0.351.17
of which counter-attacks0.050.00
Set pieces0.050.30
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.040.40
Inside the box0.251.37
Shots1113
Expected goals a shot0.040.11

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
1:40Aston VillaNicolas Jackson Missed0.31RegularPlayhead5
6:11HullNobel Mendy Saved0.00FastBreakfoot52
12:31Aston VillaGeorge Hemmings Saved0.06RegularPlayfoot16
12:35Aston VillaRoss Barkley Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot17
13:17Aston VillaNicolas Jackson Blocked0.03FromCornerfoot19
18:19HullNobel Mendy Missed0.01RegularPlayfoot29
24:37Aston VillaRoss Barkley Missed0.10RegularPlayfoot14
26:33Aston VillaTyrone Mings Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot29
33:32HullRegan Slater Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot26
36:24HullMohamed Belloumi Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot25
37:29HullRegan Slater Saved0.03RegularPlayfoot25
39:44Aston VillaEmiliano Buendía Missed0.05DirectFreekickfoot26
46:50Aston VillaRoss Barkley Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot27
48:22HullOliver McBurnie Missed0.05FastBreakfoot26
49:28Aston VillaJohn McGinn Missed0.43RegularPlayfoot9
50:36HullElliot Stroud Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot19
52:29Aston VillaEmiliano Buendía Missed0.17RegularPlayfoot10
64:47HullMohamed Belloumi Post0.02FromCornerfoot30
71:28HullOliver McBurnie Missed0.04ThrowinSetPiecehead10
75:07Aston VillaTyrone Mings Blocked0.05SetPiecehead10
80:36Aston VillaRoss Barkley Missed0.04FromCornerhead10
80:37Aston VillaTyrone Mings Blocked0.13FromCornerfoot12
88:14HullMohamed-Ali Cho Saved0.08RegularPlayfoot15
89:23HullOliver McBurnie Missed0.09RegularPlayfoot13

Match statistics

HullAston Villa
Corners34
Shots1113
Shots on target41
Shots off target77
Total passes229694
Pass accuracy %72.989.9
Fouls committed105
Total yellow cards20

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.