Nottingham Forest 0–0 Tottenham

2026-09-05 15:00, The City Ground. Half time 0–0.

2026-09-05 15:00
Nottingham Forest
0–0
Tottenham
0.9
expected goals
-0.2 to Nottingham Forest
1.1

An even match on chances, 0.9 to 1.1 expected goals, and a draw.

12Shots11
0.64Expected goals from open play0.39
0.27From set pieces0.68
0.91Excluding penalties1.07
0.91As the rating counts them0.82
1.2Points the chances deserved1.5

Rating brought into the match, expected goals a match as the rating counts them: Nottingham Forest creates 1.14 and allows 1.25; Tottenham creates 1.20 and allows 1.33.

The result the chances deserved

From the two sides' shots taken together: Nottingham Forest win 28 per cent, draw 32, Tottenham win 40. Nottingham Forest deserved 1.2 points and took 1; Tottenham deserved 1.5 and took 1.

Each shot scores with its own probability, independently; two shots in one passage of play both count although only one could have scored, so a match with rebounds is slightly overstated.

Where the chances were

Nottingham Forest attack this way →← Tottenham attack this wayJan Paul van Hecke 9': 0.03 expected goalsMurillo 11': 0.14 expected goalsJames McAtee 13': 0.02 expected goalsRodrigo Bentancur 22': 0.03 expected goalsJames McAtee 25': 0.04 expected goalsMorgan Gibbs-White 25': 0.13 expected goalsJair Cunha 30': 0.02 expected goalsMurillo 33': 0.13 expected goalsLiam Delap 43': 0.06 expected goalsPedro Porro 45': 0.02 expected goalsSávio 46': 0.05 expected goalsOmar Marmoush 53': 0.08 expected goalsMicky van de Ven 53': 0.05 expected goalsMicky van de Ven 54': 0.50 expected goalsJan Paul van Hecke 58': 0.05 expected goalsMorgan Gibbs-White 64': 0.19 expected goalsOmar Marmoush 70': 0.12 expected goalsXaver Schlager 77': 0.04 expected goalsDaniel Muñoz 77': 0.05 expected goalsPedro Porro 80': 0.00 expected goalsJames McAtee 81': 0.03 expected goalsMorgan Gibbs-White 85': 0.06 expected goalsDominic Solanke 87': 0.15 expected goals

One mark per shot, larger for a better chance; filled marks are goals. Hover a mark for the player and the chance.

How the match built up

0.000.250.500.751.0001122334455667788MinuteNottingham Forest: 0Nottingham Forest, 11': Murillo, 0.14 expected goalsNottingham Forest, 13': James McAtee, 0.02 expected goalsNottingham Forest, 25': James McAtee, 0.04 expected goalsNottingham Forest, 25': Morgan Gibbs-White, 0.13 expected goalsNottingham Forest, 30': Jair Cunha, 0.02 expected goalsNottingham Forest, 33': Murillo, 0.13 expected goalsNottingham Forest, 43': Liam Delap, 0.06 expected goalsNottingham Forest, 64': Morgan Gibbs-White, 0.19 expected goalsNottingham Forest, 77': Xaver Schlager, 0.04 expected goalsNottingham Forest, 77': Daniel Muñoz, 0.05 expected goalsNottingham Forest, 81': James McAtee, 0.03 expected goalsNottingham Forest, 85': Morgan Gibbs-White, 0.06 expected goalsNottingham Forest: 0.91Tottenham: 0Tottenham, 9': Jan Paul van Hecke, 0.03 expected goalsTottenham, 22': Rodrigo Bentancur, 0.03 expected goalsTottenham, 45': Pedro Porro, 0.02 expected goalsTottenham, 46': Sávio, 0.05 expected goalsTottenham, 53': Omar Marmoush, 0.08 expected goalsTottenham, 53': Micky van de Ven, 0.05 expected goalsTottenham, 54': Micky van de Ven, 0.50 expected goalsTottenham, 58': Jan Paul van Hecke, 0.05 expected goalsTottenham, 70': Omar Marmoush, 0.12 expected goalsTottenham, 80': Pedro Porro, 0.00 expected goalsTottenham, 87': Dominic Solanke, 0.15 expected goalsTottenham: 1.07Nottingham ForestTottenham

Expected goals added up through the match; the rings are goals.

Expected goals, three ways

Expected goalsNottingham ForestTottenham
In full0.911.07
Excluding penalties0.911.07
As the rating counts them0.910.82

In full, every chance counts at its value. What the numbers mean says how the rating counts a chance.

Where each side's chances came from

Expected goals fromNottingham ForestTottenham
Open play0.640.39
of which counter-attacks0.080.12
Set pieces0.270.68
Penalties0.000.00
Headers0.000.70
Inside the box0.650.97
Shots1211
Expected goals a shot0.080.10

Every shot

MinSidePlayerResultxGPlayBodyMetres
9:45TottenhamJan Paul van Hecke Missed0.03FromCornerhead10
11:56Nottingham ForestMurillo Missed0.14FromCornerfoot10
13:22Nottingham ForestJames McAtee Saved0.02FastBreakfoot31
22:35TottenhamRodrigo Bentancur Missed0.03SetPiecehead13
25:51Nottingham ForestJames McAtee Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot20
25:53Nottingham ForestMorgan Gibbs-White Missed0.13RegularPlayfoot15
30:24Nottingham ForestJair Cunha Missed0.02RegularPlayfoot24
33:30Nottingham ForestMurillo Missed0.13FromCornerfoot9
43:16Nottingham ForestLiam Delap Missed0.06FastBreakfoot24
45:18TottenhamPedro Porro Blocked0.02RegularPlayfoot26
46:18TottenhamSávio Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot20
53:14TottenhamOmar Marmoush Blocked0.08DirectFreekickfoot21
53:48TottenhamMicky van de Ven Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot15
54:35TottenhamMicky van de Ven Missed0.50FromCornerhead2
58:17TottenhamJan Paul van Hecke Missed0.05FromCornerfoot8
64:57Nottingham ForestMorgan Gibbs-White Saved0.19RegularPlayfoot15
70:44TottenhamOmar Marmoush Missed0.12FastBreakfoot17
77:07Nottingham ForestXaver Schlager Missed0.04RegularPlayfoot21
77:21Nottingham ForestDaniel Muñoz Blocked0.05RegularPlayfoot21
80:43TottenhamPedro Porro Missed0.00RegularPlayfoot56
81:25Nottingham ForestJames McAtee Blocked0.03RegularPlayfoot21
85:56Nottingham ForestMorgan Gibbs-White Blocked0.06RegularPlayfoot18
87:11TottenhamDominic Solanke Missed0.15RegularPlayhead8

Match statistics

Nottingham ForestTottenham
Corners210
Shots1211
Shots on target20
Shots off target77
Total passes311456
Pass accuracy %76.883.8
Fouls committed2214
Total yellow cards22

Counts of the events in the match feed whose definitions the project has checked against a second source.