Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest's chances have been 0.56 goals a match better than its opponents' this season, 2nd in the league; results have put it 15th in the table.

+0.56
expected-goals difference a match, 2nd in the league
5
points from 6 matches, 15th in the table
11.0
points the chances deserved
1.16 / 1.23
rating now: creates / allows, expected goals a match as the rating counts them

Nottingham Forest has 5 points from chances that deserved 11.0: 6.0 behind its performance. The rating, which remembers past seasons, puts it at -0.08 expected goals a match as the rating counts them, against an average opponent; it is +0.56 from this season's chances in full.

Performance match by match

-1.2-0.60+0.6+1.2Match 1, v Leeds: +0.12 expected goalsMatch 2, at Liverpool: +0.12 expected goalsMatch 3, v Tottenham: -0.16 expected goalsMatch 4, at Aston Villa: +1.23 expected goalsMatch 5, v Coventry: +0.95 expected goalsMatch 6, at Crystal Palace: +1.08 expected goalsMatch of the season; above the line the team created more than it allowed

Points and the points the chances deserved

0258100123456Match of the seasonAfter match 1: 0 pointsAfter match 2: 1 pointsAfter match 3: 2 pointsAfter match 4: 5 pointsAfter match 5: 5 pointsAfter match 6: 5 pointsAfter match 1: the chances deserved 1.4After match 2: the chances deserved 3.5After match 3: the chances deserved 4.7After match 4: the chances deserved 6.9After match 5: the chances deserved 9.0After match 6: the chances deserved 11.0PointsPoints the chances deserved

The rating through the season

Before each match: the expected goals a match as the rating counts them that the rating says the team creates and allows against an average opponent. It remembers past seasons with the recent matches counting most, and leans on what the squad is worth while the record is short.

0.000.501.000123456Match of the seasonBefore match 1: creates 1.15 a matchBefore match 2: creates 1.13 a matchBefore match 3: creates 1.14 a matchBefore match 4: creates 1.13 a matchBefore match 5: creates 1.15 a matchBefore match 6: creates 1.14 a matchBefore match 1: allows 1.26 a matchBefore match 2: allows 1.24 a matchBefore match 3: allows 1.25 a matchBefore match 4: allows 1.23 a matchBefore match 5: allows 1.22 a matchBefore match 6: allows 1.21 a matchAttack: expected goals created a matchDefence: allowed a match

How Nottingham Forest creates and concedes

Share of expected goalscreatedleagueallowedleague
Open play70%73% 71%73%
of which counter-attacks7%10% 6%10%
Set pieces23%22% 29%22%
Penalties8%5% 0%5%
Headers18%16% 29%16%
Inside the box74%82% 88%82%
Expected goals a shot0.100.110.100.11

Matches

DateOpponentResultxG forxG againstDiffPtsDeserved
2026-08-22v Leeds 0–1 0.740.62+0.1201.4
2026-08-29at Liverpool 2–2 1.651.53+0.1212.1
2026-09-05v Tottenham 0–0 0.911.07-0.1611.2
2026-09-12at Aston Villa 2–1 2.341.11+1.2332.2
2026-09-19v Coventry 0–1 1.520.57+0.9502.1
2026-10-11at Crystal Palace 1–3 2.861.78+1.0802.0

Expected goals here leave penalties out, as the rating does; the match pages count them. The squad the rating reads is worth about 520 million euros at its latest match.